Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Yeah clippers have a notorious tendency to trend north a ton at the very last possible second, would be nice to have a little appetizer before the presumed main course a few days later.
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Yeah clippers have a notorious tendency to trend north a ton at the very last possible second, would be nice to have a little appetizer before the presumed main course a few days later.
Last winter , the “ NW trend” was non-existent . It’s not a guarantee , and SE trends have become more common!
Thanks. Looks like the AK vortex and west coast trough retrograde out of the picture. Not a bad thought really and would set us up for a cold January as heights rise in the EPO region. Not that dissimilar than the last few winters
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I notice we got a few trolls out and about. Lol.
Main thing is we got to get this thing within 144 hrs or even 120 hrs. Everybody is trying to jump to conclusion to quick. We just went from a 0z gfs Chicago rain storm to a 18z gfs close to being a board wide snowstorm hit.
Main thing is we got to get this thing within 144 hrs or even 120 hrs. Everybody is trying to jump to conclusion to quick. We just went from a 0z gfs Chicago rain storm to a 18z gfs close to being a board wide snowstorm hit.
The FV3 looks better. Not as clowny but still a better setup for those not in NC.
Yeah the trends are good for those outside of NC like in tenn and northern Georgia . Forget any possible CAD . The H5 setup was much better for northern areas
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Kylo
Member
The Op. GFS has such a great setup with strong/higher heights just west of HB. That’s usually a staple in great winter storms along with a deep low in SE Canada. GEFS not as bullish but still a good look this far out.
GeorgiaGirl
Member
I have to think with the position of the high pressure on the FV3 that there'd be more CAD than we see unless there's something else to the story, let me see...
Edit: Don't think I see anything that would affect it, there should be more CAD.
Edit: Don't think I see anything that would affect it, there should be more CAD.
Honestly with the H5, the look on both Gfs and FV3 Gfs the Midlands of South Carolina could potentially be affected by it. Still long ways out so just speciation
whatalife
Moderator
Just for giggles...
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BHS1975
Member
The Fv5 with a touch colder temperatures would be a CC repeat.
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Yeah the gfs has a tendency to be too far south at this lead time. That being said the cmc has arguably better jet dynamics over nc on Wednesday but the response is a low off of the delmarva. The look isn't that far off even on the models showing nothing.
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Just for giggles...
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A Brent special !!!
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Brent
Member
Round Oak Weather
Member
The FV3 was painful to watch looked like 35 degrees and rain for here
MichaelJ
Member
Is that a new model I am unaware of?
BHS1975
Member
Broken024
Member
Broken024
Member
E20 ftw
bunch of losers in there