Srefs really jumped in at 21z with a mean of 3 inches at RDU
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I'll take it. That would be almost 4 times more rain than I've had since 7/1It's still raining in NC on this frame...
View attachment 952
Certainly appears that way on radar, just can make out possible slp just off St. AugustineIt appears based on the last couple of hours that there may be a bit of a low center forming near St Augustine, where winds are quite light and SLP lowest. (I'm treating The Villages' lower pressure as bogus.)
Now that we've reached the time of a climo diurnal max, we may see hourly SLPs start to fall again shortly.
While the 12z Euro had 0 precip in my yard, or county as a whole. the EPS decides to turn my county into a rainbow from the potential system:
From looking at this Shawn that will completely be a BUST!! 6 to 7 inches is unlikely because one the speed of the system, and two the Shear?? I actually think 3k Nam may be the best with the rainfall for this event or the HRRR.