Misc Winter Whamby 2020, a New Decade

[Brick Tamland]

I get why mets don't want to bust too high and would rather bust low and start out low and increase their actual forecast. But what I don't get is not presenting all the scenarios that the models are showing and just going with one model over all the others. I think they should present all the data to the public and let them see all the possibilities that the models are showing, especially when they are all following in line with a big storm except for one model.

 

[Shawn]

Frozen precip chance. lol @ that line.

 

[KyloG]

18z Navgem

 

[Shawn]

Oh great, looks like the line from the HRRRX would match the NAVGEM. Throw out the HRRRX

 

[Metwannabe]

I get why mets don't want to bust too high and would rather bust low and start out low and increase their actual forecast. But what I don't get is not presenting all the scenarios that the models are showing and just going with one model over all the others. I think they should present all the data to the public and let them see all the possibilities that the models are showing, especially when they are all following in line with a big storm except for one model.

Actually ABC11 did that, showed the GFS, the Euro and their current expectations... I've seen then show the NAM before too. It's really the best approach 48 hrs out, public knows there is a possibility and leave it at that for now.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

I can hear the reports already

Person A- It’s ripping fatties now!

Person B- Well we just flipped to sleet down here. I think it’s on the move.

Person A- I don’t know. I actually think we might stay all snow. This is great!

Person A - Nope. You’re right. Just flipped to sleet. Fml

 

[LovingGulfLows]

I can here the reports already

Person A- It’s ripping fatties now!

Person B- Well we just flipped to sleet down here. I think it’s on the move.

Person A- I don’t know. I actually think we might stay all snow. This is great!

Person A - Nope. You’re right. Just flipped to sleet. Fml

I already have a feeling sleet's gonna kill a few people's totals.

 

[SD]

I can here the reports already

Person A- It’s ripping fatties now!

Person B- Well we just flipped to sleet down here. I think it’s on the move.

Person A- I don’t know. I actually think we might stay all snow. This is great!

Person A - Nope. You’re right. Just flipped to sleet. Fml

Person C- I'll never trust the NAM again

 

[Spurs up]

Frozen precip chance. lol @ that line.

Oh great, looks like the line from the HRRRX would match the NAVGEM. Throw out the HRRRX

we all coming to your house to see some graupal! lol

 

[pcbjr]

I can here the reports already

Person A- It’s ripping fatties now!

Person B- Well we just flipped to sleet down here. I think it’s on the move.

Person A- I don’t know. I actually think we might stay all snow. This is great!

Person A - Nope. You’re right. Just flipped to sleet. Fml

Person C (pcbjr) - it's all rain and just flipped to thunder ...

 

[Shawn]

I can here the reports already

Person A- It’s ripping fatties now!

Person B- Well we just flipped to sleet down here. I think it’s on the move.

Person A- I don’t know. I actually think we might stay all snow. This is great!

Person A - Nope. You’re right. Just flipped to sleet. Fml

- Waiting for the warm nose to erode.
- Why are real time soundings strengthening it?
- Okay, I think we wished for too much precipitation, it's bring too much warm air with it
- Am I seriously going to end up with just a dusting of snow?
- I'm sure it will change over, look Columbia is changing over, I see a heavier band about to swing through to kill the warm nose, im much further north.
- Okay, I am finally snow
- (2 min later) it's very light, almost like flurries now, what?
- Okay, seriously, what is going on? Why does CAE have posters showing a bust and more snow?
- (The next day) What a busted forecast, congrats CAE, you always score.

 

[Metwannabe]

Almost every time. It’s one thing that usually overpeforms (like warm noses).

I think your question was rhetorical, though.

It was ?

 

[Broken024]

I can here the reports already

Person A- It’s ripping fatties now!

Person B- Well we just flipped to sleet down here. I think it’s on the move.

Person A- I don’t know. I actually think we might stay all snow. This is great!

Person A - Nope. You’re right. Just flipped to sleet. Fml

I'm totally fine with sleet. Just dont want 8 hours of 33 degree rain

 

[LetItSnow]

LOL, I forgot about that model.

Anyone got the Korean?

 

[Shawn]

Why is that place still using Windows XP?

 

[Spurs up]

i wish everybody luck i hope y'all get some good snow from this storm! We will get that I20 special soon enough ? #2021isouryear

 

[GeorgiaGirl]

My guess is that parts of Eastern/southeastern NC are going to end up with 6-10" of snow and its not going to be until 12z on the day of the storm that the Euro fully catches on. Not discrediting the Euro as a model, but it just seems like that kind of year this go around.

 

[Shawn]

i wish everybody luck i hope y'all get some good snow from this storm! We will get that I20 special soon enough ? #2021isouryear

Just like we say about gamecock sports every year huh? "maybe next year"

 

[Metwannabe]

Well I'll be the Euro just made my night..... well ladies and gents time for a cup of joe once again, 0z suites here I come, take us to glory.

 

[ATLwxfan]

I wish that 12k NAM snow accumulation map on TT was real. Odds of a miracle run are nearly zero but how awesome would it be if this thing beefs up on the backside.


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