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Misc Winter Whamby 2020, a New Decade

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Yep, bye bye +AAM, it was nice knowing you.

With the inevitable Feb +TNH pattern coming I guess we should provide some hope. If we can get the Pac ridge to nose in to AK like 89 it would give a change, maybe. We don't want the disasters that were Feb 18, 19.

CMC is close to a Feb 89 type pattern.

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cmc-ensemble-all-avg-nhemi-z500_anom_5day-1595200.pngcompday.5ZOv8aZTf_.gifcompday.a8GASJoMaT.gif
 
If we end up with a 18, 19 Feb repeat I would think we would challenge one of the warmest winters on record. I wonder what it is.

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If we end up with a 18, 19 Feb repeat I would think we would challenge one of the warmest winters on record. I wonder what it is.

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The GEFS has been meh, but it’s a little bit concerning with this look, don’t like how shallow that ridge is, it would probably tac on to that warmth if a look like this was to happen, hopefully we get a better look 7BBD1A79-22AD-4F8F-BB85-F5D5E18D2C4C.gifBA485F63-ED1F-4BBB-A9BB-8BA8631269F9.gif
 
What good luck we have. Just marginal cold would have probably been enough to put the 85 corridor into a nice snowfall. The pattern is working really hard to not snow right. Really...if we just had no luck that would be a snowstorm.

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-se-t850_mslp_prcp6hr-0536800.pngecmwf-ensemble-avg-se-t2m_f-0558400.pngecmwf-ensemble-avg-se-t850-0558400.png
 
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