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Misc Winter Whamby 2020, a New Decade

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Is middle TN even remotely in the game for late week system or is it time to sign off? It seems to me another tick or two to the north puts us in the mix.
 
Webberweather53 said:
Most of the snow for those areas if a transfer happens would come from the front end overrunning thump, a coastal transfer would basically screw over areas like Charlotte and shut off the precip a bit earlier than it would otherwise, leading to lower totals.
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Hey man I’m still in Charlotte don’t bring in the negative energy and cut us off of this thing lol we need positivity
 
First one to mention sun angle and soil temps gets throat punched (just kidding, sort of). ;)
 
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Just a slight disagreement between the NAM and Euro. I wonder what past history tells us in these situations....

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Anyone with experience on RDU ground stops or delays due to p-type issues? I tried google and not really any returns for concrete information or criteria. Zero issue leaving PGV ~3am Friday morning and being at RDU by 5, flight leaves ~630, SEATAC, don't want a delay with PGV still in on the action. I do like to drive in winter weather conditions in case that was not clear, just don't want to be parked at the airport.
 
by the overwhelming numbers of NC and SC posters, I'm assuming Tennessee Valley is out of the hunt on this one? Haven't followed the models at all...
 
I may take a trip to NC to experience the heavy band that sets up. Just bought a 4wd suv and it needs that snow button pressed again lol. It was great testing it out when the roads were snow packed on the last storm!
 
What's with so many people constantly posting Chris Justice and Brad P quotes, updates, tweets, etc. in the main threads. We could follow them and their trace of snow predictions if we wanted to!
 
Brick Tamland said:
I wonder with the improvements made to it if it is a case of the global models picking up on the basic threat for a storm, and then the NAM comes in for the short range and figures out the finer details.
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Let's hope this is a good hand off from the globals to higher res meso models, and not an epic Butt fumble
 
The NAM is more in touch with the moisture available like the last storm. Crazy how much precip has fallen this winter. Record lake levels for Lake Lanier and nonstop feed from the STJ. Can't bet against the trend!
 
Nerman said:
What's with so many people constantly posting Chris Justice and Brad P quotes, updates, tweets, etc. in the main threads. We could follow them and their trace of snow predictions if we wanted to!
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I’ll be honest Chris justice is usually one of the more aggressive meteorologists. I think he’s leaning towards more then a trace.


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GaStorm said:
The NAM is more in touch with the moisture available like the last storm. Crazy how much precip has fallen this winter. Record lake levels for Lake Lanier and nonstop feed from the STJ. Can't bet against the trend!
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Which is why I don't get why some mets are going with the conservative approach. We have had so much precip here since November. Until you actually see that ending, why think it isn't going to be the same with this system?
 
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