the scarier thought...
-
Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!
Misc Winter Whamby 2020, a New Decade
- Thread starter ForsythSnow
- Start date
- Status
0z GEFS, Mega Snow Storm '20 shows up again on a few members...SNOWCANE! I could be off on where the main storm develops...it just may form a bit further north in the tropics.
Sent from my SM-A102U using Tapatalk
Sent from my SM-A102U using Tapatalk
This may blow some minds, but US Weather Bureau records say that the great early Dec 1896 SE winter storm (6.2” at ATL) actually originated in the West Indies!! This is NOT a joke! It moved N from the West Indies up the E coast of FL and then it moved NE offshore the Carolina and VA coasts.
Below are two images from the 12/3/1896 Atlanta Constitution that I had copied some 20 or so years ago at the library. Note the references to the track that started in the West Indies. Also, note that it had to have had a tropical aspect based on the combo of that track and the fact that winds in S and E FL were so strong that “This storm has downed all the wires in the southern and eastern portions of Florida”!!
So, not to encourage Don, but his idea of a SE blizzard originating from a Caribbean hurricane in the middle of winter may not be as far fetched as it sounds since something like that did happen in December of 1896!
interesting.. Chattanooga had a 14.3 inch storm total over 3 days... any 500 mb maps to support the Caribbean Sea connection?
Literally the only storm on record that compares remotely to March '93..
Of course, 500 mb maps don't exist that far back. And I'm not aware of any that were done as guesses after the fact.
Edit: @SETNwx, there is a daily weather map (the one for 12/2/1896) that shows the strong surface low on the coast of NE FL with an attendant very large area of precip (showing it then snowing at ATL, Montgomery, and Charlotte and almost to Chattanooga) after it had moved north from the Caribbean here:
https://library.noaa.gov/Collections/Digital-Collections/US-Daily-Weather-Maps
Last edited:
lol, I know.. sorry, I'm drunk.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
The subtropical jet was much more active than normal in Dec 1896, considering that 1896-97 was a strong El Nino year.
ForsythSnow
Moderator
I think theoretical should be replaced with hypothetical. There's no science here, it's all made up scenarios.
Are you just trolling the board?0z GEFS, Mega Snow Storm '20 shows up again on a few members...SNOWCANE! I could be off on where the main storm develops...it just may form a bit further north in the tropics.
Sent from my SM-A102U using Tapatalk
tennessee storm
Member
This is almost comical. We need something laugh at. Cause this winter hasn’t been nothing but boring and blah....
Well I'll be, I see the EPS is sniffing out the mega apocalyptic monsoonal blizznado being wished upon the snow starved south..... yep guys and gals thar she blows
WXinCanton
Member
Why would you post that storm forecast on social media? Seems like a major cry for attention. With absolutely no scientific basis it is pretty worthless IMO.
WXinCanton
Member
You ninja'd me lol
Flurry
Member
Baghdad can get in on the snow, but the SE US sure can't....Incredible!!! Nothing quite says Winter like seeing snow in palm trees...Geeez
Last edited:
smast16
Member
I leave for 3 days and look what you all did with the place.
We need to start a pool, Who's the bigger troll? Bird meteorologist Or HurricaneSnow?? Thumbs up for hurricane Snow or thumbs down for birdman.
We need to start a pool, Who's the bigger troll? Bird meteorologist Or HurricaneSnow?? Thumbs up for hurricane Snow or thumbs down for birdman.
SnowNiner
Member
We're not going to thaw Alaska are we? This winter has made me rage quit being a snow weenie this year.
Is there a link to his social media, I mean this I gotta see....
Just search North Georgia Winter Weather Prediction on Facebook
And his mega storm "prediction" has been shared over 750 times.....
Nerman
Member
So is this like the early December snowstorm you predicted?
Or the December 21st/22nd snow storm?
I'm going to have a storm briefing video for the 21st/22nd storm system. The video will be uploaded to my YouTube channel.
How about the New Years day?
Or the most recent over the top last week of January snow storm?
Some reason's why I'm going all in for a winter storm sometime during the last week.
1. I have a really good feeling something huge is going to happen. Of course, there's nothing to support an instinct. I'm just following my instincts and sometimes your instincts are right.
2. Massive winter storms can occur in the Southeastern US after spring like conditions. Not always they can occur, but sometimes.
3. We're going into the peak climatology time for winter storm occurrences.
4. The pattern by late month is looking like it would support much below normal temperatures.
5. The sub-tropical jet is looking like it will become active again and not suppressed by late week next week into the last week.
I'm actually super excited for the last week for a winter storm to occur that could drop a tremendous amounts of snow.
Posting this for new members here to reference. I'm sure you'll be right one day but I don't think you'll get the reaction you're anticipating when you are. If a broken clock is right twice a day then I'd say you've got about 8 more hours this winter.
I was on a military USAR team on Staten Island, NY for the aftermath of Superstorm Sandy. We were on Bay Avenue which is where the Staten Island Ferry docks and shuttles back and forth between the island and Battery Park in Manhattan. We had been deployed there on November 3. We had been doing house to house structural collapse searches looking for victims for the prior three days when the snow started on the morning of November 7. It began as rain, transitioned to a rain/snow mix, then changed to all snow by about 10am. All I had at the time was a diving dry suit, a FEMA hoodie, and a FEMA three season jacket. Me and the other five guys on my team went to Modell’s that morning to get beanies, gloves, and moisture wicking ski thermals to go under our clothing.
We got back from the sporting goods store and got our assignments for the day. Even though it was snowing and windy, there was a lot more work to do. Our assignment was on Father Cappodano Drive which faced the Atlantic Ocean and was also the part of Staten Island which took the brunt of the storm surge (Father Cappodano to Hylan Avenue was completely obliterated). There were cars on top of houses, boats on top of houses, boats on Hylan Avenue (1/2 mile from the shoreline). We had to go in and physically clear each room looking for either wounded or deceased (all the while worrying about structural collapse) then coming out and making our markings on the outside of the structure with orange paint (you’ve seen the bright orange X’s with numbers in each corresponding triangle of the X).
We did all this while the snow accumulated to 7” at Fort Hamilton where USCG Station New York was located. That was right around the corner from where we were searching. If I wasn’t doing such a demanding and heartbreaking job I probably would have noticed how beautiful the snowfall was. Going back and looking at the pictures we took, I can say it was a beautiful snowfall.
I know this is a really long post, but this got me thinking about my time doing USAR for FEMA. I got to see how New Yorkers really are. They were some of the nicest and friendliest people I have ever had the pleasure of meeting. Even with the elderly babushka’s broken English and hand gestures (we didn’t have anyone who spoke Russian until we got an electronic pocket translator a day or so later) we understood how thankful they were for us to be there.
I saw the best of NYC coming together and helping one another across socio-economic, racial, nationality, sexual orientation, and religious lines. It was truly a melting pot of brother helping brother. I also saw the worst that Mother Nature has to offer. From destroyed homes to destroyed lives. From unimaginable death to the joy of finding loved ones and pets presumed lost in the flood. It was truly an honor to serve my country and the citizens of the state and city of New York.
In the end, I have a lot of photos of both the devastation from the storm and the beauty of the snowfall that brought a little joy during one of the most taxing days of my life. Sorry for running on, but it feels good to talk about this from time to time, even if it is in a message board with people I don’t know. Thanks again.
Sean
The person in the picture is me, I'm glad my prediction came true for that event. Many weeks in advance I predicted it, I had a post on my Facebook page as well as here, stating that the pattern would be favorable for an increase chance of frozen precipitation through the last week in Jan. and into early Feb. Even though, I thought there would have been a widespread winter storm, it was mostly localized over GA.
I guess my followers on my Facebook weather page like to hear in depth thoughts/predictions of mine, instead of generic forecasts/predictions...maybe that's why a lot like to follow my page? Yes, my predictions are hypothetical predictions, based off of activity that has happened and ongoing that could lead onto something in the future. So what that my predictions aren't based from science? So what that my predictions are based from hypothetical hypothesis? There's nothing wrong with that.
Come on guys, I don't want to be banned, and I'm not trolling the board. I'm seriously looking for signs of the blizzard that I'm predicting. And the ones that are saying I'm on drugs, should be ashamed for saying that to me. I'm absolutely not on drugs, I'm an intuitive, intelligent thinker.
Sent from my SM-A102U using Tapatalk
I guess my followers on my Facebook weather page like to hear in depth thoughts/predictions of mine, instead of generic forecasts/predictions...maybe that's why a lot like to follow my page? Yes, my predictions are hypothetical predictions, based off of activity that has happened and ongoing that could lead onto something in the future. So what that my predictions aren't based from science? So what that my predictions are based from hypothetical hypothesis? There's nothing wrong with that.
Come on guys, I don't want to be banned, and I'm not trolling the board. I'm seriously looking for signs of the blizzard that I'm predicting. And the ones that are saying I'm on drugs, should be ashamed for saying that to me. I'm absolutely not on drugs, I'm an intuitive, intelligent thinker.
Sent from my SM-A102U using Tapatalk
NoSnowATL
Member
Ok. I’m rooting for the MegaSandyblizzardsnowcanesuperstorm2020!
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
I think a lot like to follow your page because you predict snow.The person in the picture is me, I'm glad my prediction came true for that event. Many weeks in advance I predicted it, I had a post on my Facebook page as well as here, stating that the pattern would be favorable for an increase chance of frozen precipitation through the last week in Jan. and into early Feb. Even though, I thought there would have been a widespread winter storm, it was mostly localized over GA.
I guess my followers on my Facebook weather page like to hear in depth thoughts/predictions of mine, instead of generic forecasts/predictions...maybe that's why a lot like to follow my page? Yes, my predictions are hypothetical predictions, based off of activity that has happened and ongoing that could lead onto something in the future. So what that my predictions aren't based from science? So what that my predictions are based from hypothetical hypothesis? There's nothing wrong with that.
Come on guys, I don't want to be banned, and I'm not trolling the board. I'm seriously looking for signs of the blizzard that I'm predicting. And the ones that are saying I'm on drugs, should be ashamed for saying that to me. I'm absolutely not on drugs, I'm an intuitive, intelligent thinker.
Sent from my SM-A102U using Tapatalk
Posting in here because I refuse to fall for it....
Meh just 16", I assume this is an appetizer for the mega March blizznado
For about 2 hours and then Dr. No will most likely live up to it's name...Well this thread should be hopping
Hope I have my new roof by thenHi res map
Yup!
the Doc for the last day has been closer to a storm than the GFS..the goods might get brought in a couple hours
Last edited:
NoSnowATL
Member
Please get my room ready. Remember beer is on me!
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
1/17/2018 redux? Sign me the hell up! 4.7 inches, that's the most snow I've got since 1/11/2011!
I see this total embarrassment of weather models continues with it's usual nonsense today, LOL. I'm defintely saving this to add to my collection of fantasy snow maps.
- Status