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Misc Winter Whamby 2020, a New Decade

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So call for a last week of January boardwide snow storm for several weeks and then when an isolated Georgia snow happens on February the 8th call it a win.

#SnowWinning
 
It would be nice if operational models would go away and we just had ensembles so we could avoid all the wonky runs.
 
WxWatch said:
I know some will think I'm crazy for predicting a blizzard (lol) -- a 1 out of 200 year storm. My prediction is a presentiment. No, I am absolutely not on drugs; I'm just a very intelligent thinker. I think hurricane season will start super early this season, and the blizzard I'm predicting will be basically an early hurricane, but with snow -- a snowcane.
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so is this a
Shawn said:
It would be nice if operational models would go away and we just had ensembles so we could avoid all the wonky runs.
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shawn you think we can squeak out something this month or are we doomed?
 
Incredibly busy and surrounded by folks who have and are coming down with real flu ... as a precaution I've moved my office to the house for the week unless I have court.
So, I haven't had much time to study weather, and when I do, I see nothing exciting ...
But I pop in here and see all sorts of interesting stuff ...
So from afar, Thanks!
 
The sun has been shining for a couple hours here. Warmed up into the mid 70’s. Downright hot. This little booger is going to have a lot of instability to work with as it passes overhead A0AF732D-C9A0-46EC-8F1C-628F43D88D05.jpeg
 
All this talk about how much it was going to rain today....barely a drop. You'd think with this juicy atmosphere that any lift/focusing mechanism would deliver a lot of rain, it just didn't materialize.
 
He be Trollin
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Jimmy (@Jimmy Hypocracy),
Gave up on fighting ... JB, models, winter, any hope for freezing down here, and most everything else as well when it comes to weather the past couple years ... but you know what? Gave up on fighting it all and low and behold ... no more bloody noses, no more black eyes, and no more anxiety over something that is as random as a lottery ticket ...
Phil
:cool:
 
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Spurs up said:
you getting a feeling bout this one?
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Tbh no but only because these D10 deals have yet to work out this year. I’ve seen snow twice this year and barely had time to track either one because they showed up in the short range. Ensembles are trash. Global models at trash. I’ll be here to track regardless. I feel like that last storm that GA and the upstate we’re able to capitalize on was a perfect setup. I mean it wasn’t a juiced up wave so 850’s were ? and we didn’t have to deal with a scorching upper atmosphere. I’d love for another one of those to swing through a little further south to put you guys in play. Because that’s the way to do it in a craptastic pattern. You don’t always need a big bombing low to tap the gulf to get 8” of snow. Just as Ellijay and other parts of N GA
 
Jimmy Hypocracy said:
Tbh no but only because these D10 deals have yet to work out this year. I’ve seen snow twice this year and barely had time to track either one because they showed up in the short range. Ensembles are trash. Global models at trash. I’ll be here to track regardless. I feel like that last storm that GA and the upstate we’re able to capitalize on was a perfect setup. I mean it wasn’t a juiced up wave so 850’s were ? and we didn’t have to deal with a scorching upper atmosphere. I’d love for another one of those to swing through a little further south to put you guys in play. Because that’s the way to do it in a craptastic pattern. You don’t always need a big bombing low to tap the gulf to get 8” of snow. Just as Ellijay and other parts of N GA
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I did a study of the dozens of major ATL snow and sleet storms awhile back and found that the median pressure for those that had a GOM low was up at 1008 mb and nearly 1/4 of them had way up at 1017-20 mb! Weak is good in most cases. Only 3 were sub 1000 mb including 3/1993.
 
WxWatch said:
Hey @GaWx what is your honest thoughts about my blizzard prediction?
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I’m not GaWx but I don’t believe we see a southeast blizzard this year in March. Perhaps we get snow. That remains to be seen. But there will be no blizzard. If I’m wrong I’ll admit I was wrong. Northeast might get a blizzard though.


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