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Misc Winter Whamby 2020, a New Decade

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I know some will think I'm crazy for predicting a blizzard (lol) -- a 1 out of 200 year storm. My prediction is a presentiment. No, I am absolutely not on drugs; I'm just a very intelligent thinker. I think hurricane season will start super early this season, and the blizzard I'm predicting will be basically an early hurricane, but with snow -- a snowcane.
 
WxWatch said:
I know some will think I'm crazy for predicting a blizzard (lol) -- a 1 out of 200 year storm. My prediction is a presentiment. No, I am absolutely not on drugs; I'm just a very intelligent thinker. I think hurricane season will start super early this season, and the blizzard I'm predicting will be basically an early hurricane, but with snow -- a snowcane.
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So a Sandy 2.0?


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WxWatch said:
I know some will think I'm crazy for predicting a blizzard (lol) -- a 1 out of 200 year storm. My prediction is a presentiment. No, I am absolutely not on drugs; I'm just a very intelligent thinker. I think hurricane season will start super early this season, and the blizzard I'm predicting will be basically an early hurricane, but with snow -- a snowcane.
Click to expand...
Everyone would love for you to be correct but until that day expect a lot of this talk....but all in good fun.
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Gonna be wet today.
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NoSnowATL said:
So a Sandy 2.0?


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Yes, it could be similar in terms of strength, but not exact track. I'm predicting there would be severe weather with this storm, but the severe weather would be in FL. Storm surge/flooding would be the greatest concern for the coastal area's along the east coast.
 
WxWatch said:
Yes, it could be similar in terms of strength, but not exact track. I'm predicting there would be severe weather with this storm, but the severe weather would be in FL. Storm surge/flooding would be the greatest concern for the coastal area's along the east coast.
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Sounds a lot like 93.


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Is a rain/snow gauge at an official weather station more accurate than multiple ground measurements from people area wide? CHA recorded 2.7 officially and no one, literally no one in the area measured less than three. I got right at 4, based on yard and car top measurements. Just curious, I know there needs to be a standard, but 2.7 just seems too low.
 
Looking for signs for the Mega Snow Storm '20 that I am predicting. Some of the members do indeed show a blizzard by late month. Just looking for signs, not details so please don't @ me saying, "it's just for the Mid Atlantic/Northeast." It's hard to see the Mega Snow Storm '20 on these maps... I needed a wider view. (I wish the GEFS members had a closer map of the Caribbean.)
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WxWatch said:
Here we go, first off, keep in mind what your about to read is not an official forecast nor an official prediction. This is not based off of no solid evidence from the models as of yet, but I'll be watching for some features on the models in the coming weeks. As I have said, I 'am indeed predicting a blizzard -- a 1 out of 200 year storm. The last historical snow storm about 200 years ago was the Great Snow Storm of 1831 that dumped snow from Georgia to Maine.

Onto my predictions for the Mega Snow Storm '20. I'm predicting that the storm will form south/south west south of Jamaica, roughly 17°N - 80°W. The storm develops from an area of thunder storms that move northeast from Honduras and Nicaragua. The Mega Snow Storm '20 will have hurricane characteristics. For a strong storm to develop over the ocean, there needs to be 3 main things --- warm water that's at least 80 degrees, there needs to be moist air (which will not be an issue) and there needs to be converging winds -- these 3 main things will be at play at the time the storm beings to develop.

The SSTs are above normal in the Caribbean, SSTs are in the lower 80s in the Caribbean. I think the storm system will track along the gulf stream, which the SSTs in the gulf stream are above normal as well. The above normal temps of the SSTs will fuel this storm just like a hurricane. According to my prediction, there will be prevailing winds from the ESE and from the west, converging winds that will spin this storm up. I also think there will be a phase, a short wave undercuts the northern stream -- the phase occurs off of the southeast coast. It's possible it could be a triple phase, if another short wave comes along in the southern stream...I don't know if there will be a triple phase.

SST Anomalies

View attachment 33752

Weather pattern: I think there will be a -EPO, +PNA with a PV lobe over the Upper Plains at the time of the storm, perhaps there will be a -AO as well. The strong storm will pull deep cold air on the northwestern and western side of the low -- snow will be in feet. On the map below, I also think there will be a weak Bermuda high. I know Bermuda highs can be concerning, cause it can cause south winds to warm the southeast. But in this case, I'm predicting that it would be a weak Bermuda high, and this Bermuda high will prevent the storm going out to sea. The time frame for this storm could be any where some time during the tail end of this month or by March 10th. That's all I have for my prediction for now.

View attachment 33754
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WxWatch said:
Looking for signs for the Maga Snow Storm '20 that I am predicting. Some of the members do indeed show a blizzard by late month. Just looking for signs, not details so please don't @ me saying, "it's just for the Mid Atlantic/Northeast." It's hard to see the Mega Snow Storm '20 on these maps... I needed a wider view. (I wish the GEFS members had a closer map of the Caribbean.)
da4c46a1a9c6304fdd5213b1094a423c.jpg


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A group photo of all the models and their ensembles that show something close to what your thoughts areemptyfield.jpg
 
WxWatch said:
I know some will think I'm crazy for predicting a blizzard (lol) -- a 1 out of 200 year storm. My prediction is a presentiment. No, I am absolutely not on drugs; I'm just a very intelligent thinker. I think hurricane season will start super early this season, and the blizzard I'm predicting will be basically an early hurricane, but with snow -- a snowcane.
Click to expand...

I’m not saying your wrong by any means. But the idea of this makes me laugh. I hope it does happen though


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WxWatch said:
I know it is a bold strategy for sure. As you all know, I am not scared to make a prediction, regardless if the models are showing it or not.
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If we could luck into some really entrenched cold air with a deep trough digging into the east and a status quo juicy wave that we seem to get every week for the past 3 months then a big blizzard measured in feet up the eastern seaboard is not out of the question. You could see how a soggy pattern like this could produce an anomalous late winter storm like the one you speak of. Record +AO dives into the negative spilling all of that cold air that has been trapped at the pole all winter into the US..use your imagination people
 
Jessy89 said:
I’m not saying your wrong by any means. But the idea of this makes me laugh. I hope it does happen though


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Haha, I know my predictions make some laugh, while some may take it serious. Some will say, "that's just for entertainment," which is completely fine. I have a strong feeling that a blizzard will occur sometime during the tail end of this month or by March 10th that will about the same strength as the '93 blizzard or stronger. I am predicting that the low would be a 960-965mb off of the southeastern coast and strengthening to a 955mb at it's lowest.
 
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