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Misc Winter Whamby 2020, a New Decade

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Jimmy Hypocracy said:
If we could luck into some really entrenched cold air with a deep trough digging into the east and a status quo juicy wave that we seem to get every week for the past 3 months then a big blizzard measured in feet up the eastern seaboard is not out of the question. You could see how a soggy pattern like this could produce an anomalous late winter storm like the one you speak of. Record +AO dives into the negative spilling all of that cold air that has been trapped at the pole all winter into the US..use your imagination people
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I'm loving the optimistic Jimmy. Crazy what seeing snow will do.
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WxWatch said:
Haha, I know my predictions make some laugh, while some may take it serious. Some will say, "that's just for entertainment," which is completely fine. I have a strong feeling that a blizzard will occur sometime during the tail end of this month or by March 10th that will about the same strength as the '93 blizzard or stronger. I am predicting that the low would be a 960-965mb off of the southeastern coast and strengthening to a 955mb at it's lowest.
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See you 3/11 unless I'm reinforcing my roof from the 22+inches of snow
 
Jimmy Hypocracy said:
If we could luck into some really entrenched cold air with a deep trough digging into the east and a status quo juicy wave that we seem to get every week for the past 3 months then a big blizzard measured in feet up the eastern seaboard is not out of the question. You could see how a soggy pattern like this could produce an anomalous late winter storm like the one you speak of. Record +AO dives into the negative spilling all of that cold air that has been trapped at the pole all winter into the US..use your imagination people
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One has to wonder going from such a +AO to a -AO could open the door for something good. We are certainly looking at historic numbers which may very well produce a historic storm. ;)
 
WxWatch said:
I know some will think I'm crazy for predicting a blizzard (lol) -- a 1 out of 200 year storm. My prediction is a presentiment. No, I am absolutely not on drugs; I'm just a very intelligent thinker. I think hurricane season will start super early this season, and the blizzard I'm predicting will be basically an early hurricane, but with snow -- a snowcane.
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I had a broken watch that was correct twice a day.
 
With the ongoing flooding along I-20 between BHam -ATL . The construction that started 50 years ago now won’t be completed until 3045. Honestly the longer road project ever.


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SD said:
See you 3/11 unless I'm reinforcing my roof from the 22+inches of snow
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Yes, I think there will be a few tropical disturbances before June. The storm I am predicting, I think will be a double phase, the southern branch is going to drop further south and a shortwave will phase with the main low. Due above normal SSTs and a double phase, this storm will strengthen significantly and deepen very rapidly.
 
WxWatch said:
Haha, I know my predictions make some laugh, while some may take it serious. Some will say, "that's just for entertainment," which is completely fine. I have a strong feeling that a blizzard will occur sometime during the tail end of this month or by March 10th that will about the same strength as the '93 blizzard or stronger. I am predicting that the low would be a 960-965mb off of the southeastern coast and strengthening to a 955mb at it's lowest.
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Why? Just gut feeling stuff?
 
Well, if it is all about trends (if one trusts trends long range) ... perhaps a cool March ... or then again ... perhaps ...


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NoSnowATL said:
I got 3.5in Saturday but it melted too fast. I’m ready for that snowstorm of EVER WXWatch is talking about.


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Congratulations sir! That's 3.5 more than I'll receive this year most likely. Did your old house get any or does the streak live on down there?
 
Snowless & Grumpy said:
Congratulations sir! That's 3.5 more than I'll receive this year most likely. Did your old house get any or does the streak live on down there?
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Thank you. Yes I was told that got a a Dusting. So glad we moved north! Now I’m sure I’ll have to wait another 6 years again.


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GaWx said:
There's nothing wrong with a +NAO. There have been a good number of major (and even historic) SE winter storms during a +NAO. That includes the one from Saturday, which also occurred during a very strong +AO and a phase 5 MJO.

Now if were to not have a return of a+PNA, that would be a horse of a different color.
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Horse of a different color, Hmmm...

Notice the SER ...

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The colors all match our pattern, Larry ... :eek:
 
Looking for more signs of the Mega Snow Storm '20. There is indeed a blizzard that has hurricane characteristics on a few of the 18z GEFS members. Reminder, not looking for details. Again, according to my prediction, this storm would begin to form southwest/WSW of Jamaica that tracks along the gulf stream.
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I just got tongue tied and said WxWatch's Wizzard. Lol! I like this Blizzard talk. The 2020 Super Wizzard!
 
GaWx said:
Teles? Don doesn't need no stinkin' teles!

During the Blizzard of 1993, the MJO was phase 4, the NAO was +0.5, the AO was +1.7, and the PNA was -0.2!!
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Nice. I guess it just comes down to the same thing it always does. Timing along with a little luck.


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WxWatch said:
Looking for signs for the Mega Snow Storm '20 that I am predicting. Some of the members do indeed show a blizzard by late month. Just looking for signs, not details so please don't @ me saying, "it's just for the Mid Atlantic/Northeast." It's hard to see the Mega Snow Storm '20 on these maps... I needed a wider view. (I wish the GEFS members had a closer map of the Caribbean.)
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Did you even look at the members to see how they got a storm ??? It’s no where close to the weird scenario you came up. You should look at how members get to their solution before claiming it’s what you said would happen


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Storm5 said:
Did you even look at the members to see how they got a storm ??? It’s no where close to the weird scenario you came up. You should look at how members get to their solution before claiming it’s what you said would happen


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Blizzard cancel? ?
 
Storm5 said:
Did you even look at the members to see how they got a storm ??? It’s no where close to the weird scenario you came up. You should look at how members get to their solution before claiming it’s what you said would happen


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I did actually look at them on how the storm forms, and yes, they are no where near my prediction on where the storm forms. I still think the main storm would form well south over warm ocean waters in the Caribbean, and the phase occurs off of the Southeastern US coast...not further north what those members shown.
 
So, I now officially ran into a conundrum earlier today. I went to the dental college to get my second opinion and I received it. It was 3 cavities instead of the 10 I heard in the middle of January. When I revealed the number I was told, the dentist that looked then went into a story about how the several other suspicious looking spots can be mistaken for them but I think if you watch them and take care that they can remain stains for years.

Only problem was I couldn't get in there because it wasn't a complicated issue, and I had chosen a step up because I was a little nervous about being at the student clinic with the newer people instead of the resident one and didn't like the wait time. I told my dad I didn't want to go there and he wasn't happy. We kind of compromised, but I'm still not sure what a 3rd person might tell me.
 
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