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Misc Winter Whamby 2020, a New Decade

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WxWatch said:
I may get huge criticism for this, but I'm actually predicting a east coast blizzard that I think could occur sometime during the tail end of this month or by March 10th. I'm putting a long time window on it, because at this time, I'm not sure yet when exactly when the storm could form.

The blizzard of '93 was a 1 out of 100 year storm, that storm was a freak of nature. The blizzard that I'm predicting is a 1 out of 200 year storm. Look at it this way, if the blizzard of '93 was a 1 out of 100 year storm, that puts the last severe historical winter storm back in 1893 (give or take). Matter of fact, there was a severe blizzard in 1899. So the blizzard of '93 was indeed a 1 out of 100 year storm (1993-1899= 94 years to be exact.)

It's a start of a new decade -- 2020, take 200 years off, that puts the year back to 1820. There was indeed another severe snow storm, known as the "Great Snow Storm." Even though that's not exactly 200 years, it's 189 years to be exact. The "Great Snow Storm" brought snow from Georgia to Maine!

The blizzard that I'm predicting, I think it may be more severe than the blizzard of '93.

This will be continued...

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WxWatch said:
I'm going to post frequently about the blizzard I'm predicting throughout the coming weeks.

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What are you seeing that is leading your prediction?


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I think there's one more thing coming in the last week of February. I don't think it's as widespread as major, memorable storms of the past though honestly. I think it ends up being 2/25/15ish like.
 
BirdManDoomW said:
After the past few months your chances are up. Can’t predict a blizzard every month for the next 50 years and claim victory. I will report you. Your walking on thin ice buddy.
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Yes, I was wrong on a good bit of my predictions that I have shared here throughout this season so far. I have changed my weather predicting technique, and I think I'm going to be more accurate that I have been ever before. I know I am walking on "thin ice" and I'm taking a huge gamble predicting a blizzard that I think will be a 1 out of 200 year storm. I'm calling it the Mega Snow Storm '20

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WxWatch said:
Yes, I was wrong on a good bit of my predictions that I have shared here throughout this season so far. I have changed my weather predicting technique, and I think I'm going to be more accurate that I have been ever before. I know I am walking on "thin ice" and I'm taking a huge gamble predicting a blizzard that I think will be a 1 out of 200 year storm. I'm calling it the Mega Snow Storm '20

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I wish you luck, just keep in mind that if it seems too good to be true it probably is. That’s why I refrain from making bold predictions.


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Parker said:
I’m just glad I have a few weeks before the Mega Snow Storm ‘20 hits. There are some things I need to get straight before this apocalyptic storm hits.
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Man I definitely agree I'm so ready for this storm to beat out the 93 storm
 
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WxWatch said:
I may get huge criticism for this, but I'm actually predicting a east coast blizzard that I think could occur sometime during the tail end of this month or by March 10th. I'm putting a long time window on it, because at this time, I'm not sure yet when exactly when the storm could form.

The blizzard of '93 was a 1 out of 100 year storm, that storm was a freak of nature. The blizzard that I'm predicting is a 1 out of 200 year storm. Look at it this way, if the blizzard of '93 was a 1 out of 100 year storm, that puts the last severe historical winter storm back in 1893 (give or take). Matter of fact, there was a severe blizzard in 1899. So the blizzard of '93 was indeed a 1 out of 100 year storm (1993-1899= 94 years to be exact.)

It's a start of a new decade -- 2020, take 200 years off, that puts the year back to 1820. There was indeed another severe snow storm, known as the "Great Snow Storm." Even though that's not exactly 200 years, it's 189 years to be exact. The "Great Snow Storm" brought snow from Georgia to Maine!

The blizzard that I'm predicting, I think it may be more severe than the blizzard of '93.

This will be continued...

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It’s more than likely going be a 0nce in 200 years tornado outbreak for Dixie and midsouth ...
 
Snowless & Grumpy said:
Negative I did not receive accumulating snow from either event. Officially a trace both times. I'm located at the red dot. I'm glad GA and the western upstate cashed in. They deserved it! But doesn't change the fact that for about 90% of the SE this winter is abysmal! Maybe we can pull a miracle but time is running short!View attachment 33742
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Lol still, a trace both times is still better than my area
 
NoSnowATL said:
March 2008 outbreak was wild. Craziest 3 days ever when it comes to severe weather in my area.

2008 was insane here in west and Middle Tennessee during the super Tuesday tornado outbreak. Massive damage and death just 30 minutes northeast of me in Lafayette Tennessee. I drove up there 2 days later and couldn’t believe what I was witnessing. The tv coverage doesn’t come close to seeing EF3 damage and destruction in real life. I remember it also snowed a few days later to make matters worse.


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Here we go, first off, keep in mind what your about to read is not an official forecast nor an official prediction. This is not based off of no solid evidence from the models as of yet, but I'll be watching for some features on the models in the coming weeks. As I have said, I 'am indeed predicting a blizzard -- a 1 out of 200 year storm. The last historical snow storm about 200 years ago was the Great Snow Storm of 1831 that dumped snow from Georgia to Maine.

Onto my predictions for the Mega Snow Storm '20. I'm predicting that the storm will form south/south west south of Jamaica, roughly 17°N - 80°W. The storm develops from an area of thunder storms that move northeast from Honduras and Nicaragua. The Mega Snow Storm '20 will have hurricane characteristics. For a strong storm to develop over the ocean, there needs to be 3 main things --- warm water that's at least 80 degrees, there needs to be moist air (which will not be an issue) and there needs to be converging winds -- these 3 main things will be at play at the time the storm beings to develop.

The SSTs are above normal in the Caribbean, SSTs are in the lower 80s in the Caribbean. I think the storm system will track along the gulf stream, which the SSTs in the gulf stream are above normal as well. The above normal temps of the SSTs will fuel this storm just like a hurricane. According to my prediction, there will be prevailing winds from the ESE and from the west, converging winds that will spin this storm up. I also think there will be a phase, a short wave undercuts the northern stream -- the phase occurs off of the southeast coast. It's possible it could be a triple phase, if another short wave comes along in the southern stream...I don't know if there will be a triple phase.

SST Anomalies

sst_anom_avhrr_amsr_atl.png

Weather pattern: I think there will be a -EPO, +PNA with a PV lobe over the Upper Plains at the time of the storm, perhaps there will be a -AO as well. The strong storm will pull deep cold air on the northwestern and western side of the low -- snow will be in feet. On the map below, I also think there will be a weak Bermuda high. I know Bermuda highs can be concerning, cause it can cause south winds to warm the southeast. But in this case, I'm predicting that it would be a weak Bermuda high, and this Bermuda high will prevent the storm going out to sea. The time frame for this storm could be any where some time during the tail end of this month or by March 10th. That's all I have for my prediction for now.

MegaSnowStorm20.jpg
 
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WxWatch said:
Here we go, first off, keep in mind what your about to read is not an official forecast nor an official prediction. This is not based off of no solid evidence from the models as of yet, but I'll be watching for some features on the models in the coming weeks. As I have said, I 'am indeed predicting a blizzard -- a 1 out of 200 year storm. The last historical snow storm about 200 years ago was the Great Snow Storm of 1831 that dumped snow from Georgia to Maine.

Onto my predictions for the Mega Snow Storm '20. I'm predicting that the storm will form south/south west south of Jamaica, roughly 17°N - 80°W. The storm develops from an area of thunder storms that move northeast from Honduras and Nicaragua. The Mega Snow Storm '20 will have hurricane characteristics. For a strong storm to develop over the ocean, there needs to be 3 main things --- warm water that's at least 80 degrees, there needs to be moist air (which will not be an issue) and there needs to be converging winds -- these 3 main things will be at play at the time the storm beings to develop.

The SSTs are above normal in the Caribbean, SSTs are in the lower 80s in the Caribbean. I think the storm system will track along the gulf stream, which the SSTs in the gulf stream are above normal as well. The above normal temps of the SSTs will fuel this storm just like a hurricane. According to my prediction, there will be prevailing winds from the ESE and from the west, converging winds that will spin this storm up. I also think there will be a phase, a short wave undercuts the northern stream -- the phase occurs off of the southeast coast. It's possible it could be a triple phase, if another short wave comes along in the southern stream...I don't know if there will be a triple phase.

SST Anomalies

View attachment 33752

Weather pattern: I think there will be a -EPO, +PNA with a PV lobe over the Upper Plains at the time of the storm, perhaps there will be a -AO as well. The strong storm will pull deep cold air on the northwestern and western side of the low -- snow will be in feet. On the map below, I also think there will be a weak Bermuda high. I know Bermuda highs can be concerning, cause it can cause south winds to warm the southeast. But in this case, I'm predicting that it would be a weak Bermuda high, and this Bermuda high will prevent the storm going out to sea. The time frame for this storm could be any where some time during the tail end of this month or by March 10th. That's all I have for my prediction for now.

View attachment 33754
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is this even possible?
 
WxWatch said:
Here we go, first off, keep in mind what your about to read is not an official forecast nor an official prediction. This is not based off of no solid evidence from the models as of yet, but I'll be watching for some features on the models in the coming weeks. As I have said, I 'am indeed predicting a blizzard -- a 1 out of 200 year storm. The last historical snow storm about 200 years ago was the Great Snow Storm of 1831 that dumped snow from Georgia to Maine.

Onto my predictions for the Mega Snow Storm '20. I'm predicting that the storm will form south/south west south of Jamaica, roughly 17°N - 80°W. The storm develops from an area of thunder storms that move northeast from Honduras and Nicaragua. The Mega Snow Storm '20 will have hurricane characteristics. For a strong storm to develop over the ocean, there needs to be 3 main things --- warm water that's at least 80 degrees, there needs to be moist air (which will not be an issue) and there needs to be converging winds -- these 3 main things will be at play at the time the storm beings to develop.

The SSTs are above normal in the Caribbean, SSTs are in the lower 80s in the Caribbean. I think the storm system will track along the gulf stream, which the SSTs in the gulf stream are above normal as well. The above normal temps of the SSTs will fuel this storm just like a hurricane. According to my prediction, there will be prevailing winds from the ESE and from the west, converging winds that will spin this storm up. I also think there will be a phase, a short wave undercuts the northern stream -- the phase occurs off of the southeast coast. It's possible it could be a triple phase, if another short wave comes along in the southern stream...I don't know if there will be a triple phase.

SST Anomalies

View attachment 33752

Weather pattern: I think there will be a -EPO, +PNA with a PV lobe over the Upper Plains at the time of the storm, perhaps there will be a -AO as well. The strong storm will pull deep cold air on the northwestern and western side of the low -- snow will be in feet. On the map below, I also think there will be a weak Bermuda high. I know Bermuda highs can be concerning, cause it can cause south winds to warm the southeast. But in this case, I'm predicting that it would be a weak Bermuda high, and this Bermuda high will prevent the storm going out to sea. The time frame for this storm could be any where some time during the tail end of this month or by March 10th. That's all I have for my prediction for now.

View attachment 33754
Click to expand...
Aw man you had me until you drew the coastal low. With that track it’s gonna have to phase for that coastal atrocity to throw precip back into Georgia and Alabama lol
 
WxWatch said:
Here we go, first off, keep in mind what your about to read is not an official forecast nor an official prediction. This is not based off of no solid evidence from the models as of yet, but I'll be watching for some features on the models in the coming weeks. As I have said, I 'am indeed predicting a blizzard -- a 1 out of 200 year storm. The last historical snow storm about 200 years ago was the Great Snow Storm of 1831 that dumped snow from Georgia to Maine.

Onto my predictions for the Mega Snow Storm '20. I'm predicting that the storm will form south/south west south of Jamaica, roughly 17°N - 80°W. The storm develops from an area of thunder storms that move northeast from Honduras and Nicaragua. The Mega Snow Storm '20 will have hurricane characteristics. For a strong storm to develop over the ocean, there needs to be 3 main things --- warm water that's at least 80 degrees, there needs to be moist air (which will not be an issue) and there needs to be converging winds -- these 3 main things will be at play at the time the storm beings to develop.

The SSTs are above normal in the Caribbean, SSTs are in the lower 80s in the Caribbean. I think the storm system will track along the gulf stream, which the SSTs in the gulf stream are above normal as well. The above normal temps of the SSTs will fuel this storm just like a hurricane. According to my prediction, there will be prevailing winds from the ESE and from the west, converging winds that will spin this storm up. I also think there will be a phase, a short wave undercuts the northern stream -- the phase occurs off of the southeast coast. It's possible it could be a triple phase, if another short wave comes along in the southern stream...I don't know if there will be a triple phase.

SST Anomalies

View attachment 33752

Weather pattern: I think there will be a -EPO, +PNA with a PV lobe over the Upper Plains at the time of the storm, perhaps there will be a -AO as well. The strong storm will pull deep cold air on the northwestern and western side of the low -- snow will be in feet. On the map below, I also think there will be a weak Bermuda high. I know Bermuda highs can be concerning, cause it can cause south winds to warm the southeast. But in this case, I'm predicting that it would be a weak Bermuda high, and this Bermuda high will prevent the storm going out to sea. The time frame for this storm could be any where some time during the tail end of this month or by March 10th. That's all I have for my prediction for now.

View attachment 33754
Click to expand...
1581313330572.png


1581313350715.png
 
Here’s my prediction. It’s a 3 day storm meaning it has been happening every 3 days for the past 3 months. Low forms somewhere near the gulf. Heavy rain. Everyone gets rain. Possibly northern Wilkes getting some light onset ice which will warrant it’s own separate thread title. We will focus on details when we get there. Anyway, this will most likely happen on the weekend. Thats where the uncertainty lies right now. Will it rain during the work week or on the weekend? My money is on the weekend. Details to be worked out later
313CBF3A-7F98-4CCB-992D-5802C40AAC3E.jpeg
 
Jimmy Hypocracy said:
Aw man you had me until you drew the coastal low. With that track it’s gonna have to phase for that coastal atrocity to throw precip back into Georgia and Alabama lol
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As of now, I'm predicting a phase would occur off of the southeast coast. The phase could be sooner off of the eastern/northeastern coast of FL. The low would have a large shield of moisture just like a hurricane. As I mentioned, there could be a triple phase, a short wave that undercuts the northern stream, short wave along the southern stream and the main low. Either way, I'm predicting that this storm will be a blizzard.
 
WxWatch said:
As of now, I'm predicting a phase would occur off of the southeast coast. The phase could be sooner off of the eastern/northeastern coast of FL. The low would have a large shield of moisture just like a hurricane. As I mentioned, there could be a triple phase, a short wave that undercuts the northern stream, short wave along the southern stream and the main low. Either way, I'm predicting that this storm will be a blizzard.
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Are you JB son?
 
GaWx said:
View attachment 33762


View attachment 33763
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Yup, I agree to this, the SJT is not going to be cut off anytime soon. This is why I'm predicting that a short wave may come along the southern stream, and phase with that storm that I'm predicting. Either a short wave undercuts the northern stream, or comes along the southern branch, or both. Double or triple phase? that still remains a question for my prediction.
 
WxWatch said:
Yup, I agree to this, the SJT is not going to be cut off anytime soon. This is why I'm predicting that a short wave may come along the southern stream, and phase with that storm that I'm predicting. Either a short wave undercuts the northern stream, or comes along the southern branch, or both. Double or triple phase? that still remains a question for my prediction.
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Lol, I was picking post above, but you are so strong in believing that a maga storm will happen that you almost have me convince
I really hope we see something in that nature before time runs out.
 
WxWatch said:
As of now, I'm predicting a phase would occur off of the southeast coast. The phase could be sooner off of the eastern/northeastern coast of FL. The low would have a large shield of moisture just like a hurricane. As I mentioned, there could be a triple phase, a short wave that undercuts the northern stream, short wave along the southern stream and the main low. Either way, I'm predicting that this storm will be a blizzard.
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As long as Tuscaloosa AL gets in on the action I'm fine with it
 
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