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Misc Winter Whamby 2020, a New Decade

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SD said:
If we lived in a world where the gfs was the best model I would agree. Don't look at the eps unless you want to see more melted red crayons across the SE
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That look can’t be too warm can it? If correct.



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NoSnowATL said:
b4dcfff3a424e2dba6706acf5a31a9f8.jpg


That look can’t be too warm can it? If correct.



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You'd think no but with the tpv once again trying to consolidate poleward and likely doing so in NW Canada/Alaska with a secondary piece over Scandinavia hard to imagine a way to deliver much more than the 1-2 day behind the fronts cold into the SE. Obviously for some this has worked out but it to me seems like more of the same. There are some possibilities to theorize post day 10 where maybe the pv slides more into the hudson bay region or retrogrades enough into east asia where you could get into a better pattern for the last week of feb into march but we've been chasing that carrot for 2 months.
 
SETNwx said:
Home from work, still snow on the ground in patches. Drive to work earlier today was a little dicey, even with temps around 32. I'm still a little giddy thinking about it. Complete surprise we got as much as we did. Was not even remotely expecting this little southern snow storm that could..
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yeah, im glad chattanooga finally got one, its been a while for you guys
 
BHS1975 said:
Dps getting into the mid 60s in Jan AND Feb the same year for days on end here? Never seen or that before.


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It’s not uncommon to have some low 70s for high temps in the winter and then go into the freezer right after. In fact this little tidbit from the Nashville weather service was just posted this morning.
 

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accu35 said:
Did you get snow yesterday? If you did then your winter has been much better than mine
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Negative I did not receive accumulating snow from either event. Officially a trace both times. I'm located at the red dot. I'm glad GA and the western upstate cashed in. They deserved it! But doesn't change the fact that for about 90% of the SE this winter is abysmal! Maybe we can pull a miracle but time is running short!20200209_194417.jpg
 
Jessy89 said:
What’s the chances of a March blizzard?


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There is exactly a 0.00044189129474149% chance of a March blizzard

This is due to the fact that we see a storm of the century every century and it has been 27 years since the last blizzard with 73 years left. There are 31 days in March so that is 1/2263 chance of a blizzard in March. Then changing that to a percent is shown above.
 
NoSnowATL said:
I don’t think we are done. Bamwx gonna be angry.


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Winter is nowhere near over. I think the activity is really going to pick up around here during the last week of this month into early March.
NoSnowATL said:
b4dcfff3a424e2dba6706acf5a31a9f8.jpg


That look can’t be too warm can it? If correct.



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That MJO forecast is in weak phases, not much of an influence.

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Jessy89 said:
What’s the chances of a March blizzard?


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Well let's see, I am 55 years old and I have seen 2 true Blizzards here in March. I have seen many snows, but only 2 true blizzards (1980 and 1993). That puts the odds at 1/55 or about 1.8%. The odds of just getting snow are much higher.
 
Jessy89 said:
I bet severe weather season will be quite intense. Could be wrong though


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And very, very long. Probably last from end of February through most of August (although from June through August it will be primarily through MCS/derecho events) I think all of us will have property damage within the next 3 years because it is gonna be ugly!
 
cd2play said:
And very, very long. Probably last from end of February through most of August (although from June through August it will be primarily through MCS/derecho events) I think all of us will have property damage within the next 3 years because it is gonna be ugly!
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March 2008 outbreak was wild. Craziest 3 days ever when it comes to severe weather in my area.


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cd2play said:
And very, very long. Probably last from end of February through most of August (although from June through August it will be primarily through MCS/derecho events) I think all of us will have property damage within the next 3 years because it is gonna be ugly!
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Thank you, Nostradamus!

Now, oh great one, please tell me the next winning lottery numbers. ;)
 
It would be fitting end for this winter if we were to have a severe weather/flooding threat on Leap Day through March 1
 
Jessy89 said:
What’s the chances of a March blizzard?


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I may get huge criticism for this, but I'm actually predicting a east coast blizzard that I think could occur sometime during the tail end of this month or by March 10th. I'm putting a long time window on it, because at this time, I'm not sure yet when exactly when the storm could form.

The blizzard of '93 was a 1 out of 100 year storm, that storm was a freak of nature. The blizzard that I'm predicting is a 1 out of 200 year storm. Look at it this way, if the blizzard of '93 was a 1 out of 100 year storm, that puts the last severe historical winter storm back in 1893 (give or take). Matter of fact, there was a severe blizzard in 1899. So the blizzard of '93 was indeed a 1 out of 100 year storm (1993-1899= 94 years to be exact.)

It's a start of a new decade -- 2020, take 200 years off, that puts the year back to 1820. There was indeed another severe snow storm, known as the "Great Snow Storm." Even though that's not exactly 200 years, it's 189 years to be exact. The "Great Snow Storm" brought snow from Georgia to Maine!

The blizzard that I'm predicting, I think it may be more severe than the blizzard of '93.

This will be continued...

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WxWatch said:
I may get huge criticism for this, but I'm actually predicting a east coast blizzard that I think could occur sometime during the tail end of this month or by March 10th. I'm putting a long time window on it, because at this time, I'm not sure yet when exactly when the storm could form.

The blizzard of '93 was a 1 out of 100 year storm, that storm was a freak of nature. The blizzard that I'm predicting is a 1 out of 200 year storm. Look at it this way, if the blizzard of '93 was a 1 out of 100 year storm, that puts the last severe historical winter storm back in 1893 (give or take). Matter of fact, there was a severe blizzard in 1899. So the blizzard of '93 was indeed a 1 out of 100 year storm (1993-1899= 94 years to be exact.)

It's a start of a new decade -- 2020, take 200 years off, that puts the year back to 1820. There was indeed another severe snow storm, known as the "Great Snow Storm." Even though that's not exactly 250 years, it's 189 years to be exact. The "Great Snow Storm" brought snow from Georgia to Maine!

The blizzard that I'm predicting, I think it may be more severe than the blizzard of '93.

This will be continued...

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Click to expand...
If you’re right, you will become a legend in my book.
 
WxWatch said:
I may get huge criticism for this, but I'm actually predicting a east coast blizzard that I think could occur sometime during the tail end of this month or by March 10th. I'm putting a long time window on it, because at this time, I'm not sure yet when exactly when the storm could form.

The blizzard of '93 was a 1 out of 100 year storm, that storm was a freak of nature. The blizzard that I'm predicting is a 1 out of 200 year storm. Look at it this way, if the blizzard of '93 was a 1 out of 100 year storm, that puts the last severe historical winter storm back in 1893 (give or take). Matter of fact, there was a severe blizzard in 1899. So the blizzard of '93 was indeed a 1 out of 100 year storm (1993-1899= 94 years to be exact.)

It's a start of a new decade -- 2020, take 200 years off, that puts the year back to 1820. There was indeed another severe snow storm, known as the "Great Snow Storm." Even though that's not exactly 250 years, it's 189 years to be exact. The "Great Snow Storm" brought snow from Georgia to Maine!

The blizzard that I'm predicting, I think it may be more severe than the blizzard of '93.

This will be continued...

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Click to expand...

I like your prediction very much. But would it affect the southeast or more likely the northeast


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WxWatch said:
I may get huge criticism for this, but I'm actually predicting a east coast blizzard that I think could occur sometime during the tail end of this month or by March 10th. I'm putting a long time window on it, because at this time, I'm not sure yet when exactly when the storm could form.

The blizzard of '93 was a 1 out of 100 year storm, that storm was a freak of nature. The blizzard that I'm predicting is a 1 out of 200 year storm. Look at it this way, if the blizzard of '93 was a 1 out of 100 year storm, that puts the last severe historical winter storm back in 1893 (give or take). Matter of fact, there was a severe blizzard in 1899. So the blizzard of '93 was indeed a 1 out of 100 year storm (1993-1899= 94 years to be exact.)

It's a start of a new decade -- 2020, take 200 years off, that puts the year back to 1820. There was indeed another severe snow storm, known as the "Great Snow Storm." Even though that's not exactly 250 years, it's 189 years to be exact. The "Great Snow Storm" brought snow from Georgia to Maine!

The blizzard that I'm predicting, I think it may be more severe than the blizzard of '93.

This will be continued...

Sent from my SM-A102U using Tapatalk
Click to expand...

giphy.gif




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WxWatch said:
I may get huge criticism for this, but I'm actually predicting a east coast blizzard that I think could occur sometime during the tail end of this month or by March 10th. I'm putting a long time window on it, because at this time, I'm not sure yet when exactly when the storm could form.

The blizzard of '93 was a 1 out of 100 year storm, that storm was a freak of nature. The blizzard that I'm predicting is a 1 out of 200 year storm. Look at it this way, if the blizzard of '93 was a 1 out of 100 year storm, that puts the last severe historical winter storm back in 1893 (give or take). Matter of fact, there was a severe blizzard in 1899. So the blizzard of '93 was indeed a 1 out of 100 year storm (1993-1899= 94 years to be exact.)

It's a start of a new decade -- 2020, take 200 years off, that puts the year back to 1820. There was indeed another severe snow storm, known as the "Great Snow Storm." Even though that's not exactly 200 years, it's 189 years to be exact. The "Great Snow Storm" brought snow from Georgia to Maine!

The blizzard that I'm predicting, I think it may be more severe than the blizzard of '93.

This will be continued...

Sent from my SM-A102U using Tapatalk
Click to expand...

I'm game for your very bold prediction. Hope you're right!❄☃
 
WxWatch said:
I may get huge criticism for this, but I'm actually predicting a east coast blizzard that I think could occur sometime during the tail end of this month or by March 10th. I'm putting a long time window on it, because at this time, I'm not sure yet when exactly when the storm could form.

The blizzard of '93 was a 1 out of 100 year storm, that storm was a freak of nature. The blizzard that I'm predicting is a 1 out of 200 year storm. Look at it this way, if the blizzard of '93 was a 1 out of 100 year storm, that puts the last severe historical winter storm back in 1893 (give or take). Matter of fact, there was a severe blizzard in 1899. So the blizzard of '93 was indeed a 1 out of 100 year storm (1993-1899= 94 years to be exact.)

It's a start of a new decade -- 2020, take 200 years off, that puts the year back to 1820. There was indeed another severe snow storm, known as the "Great Snow Storm." Even though that's not exactly 200 years, it's 189 years to be exact. The "Great Snow Storm" brought snow from Georgia to Maine!

The blizzard that I'm predicting, I think it may be more severe than the blizzard of '93.

This will be continued...

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Click to expand...
Man if we get a blizzard for 90% of the entire southeast and east coast I'm never complaining about not getting snow again
 
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