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Misc Winter Whamby 2020, a New Decade

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What if, now bear with me here, what if the models are wrong about February and it goes down as the hottest month in the hottest winter on record for the majority of the southeast? What if that happens? What if we then exit a hot and humid February and enter Marvelous March and it turns out even hotter? Like +20+25 anoms up and down the eastern seaboard. I mean has anyone even considered that?
 
Jimmy Hypocracy said:
What if, now bear with me here, what if the models are wrong about February and it goes down as the hottest month in the hottest winter on record for the majority of the southeast? What if that happens? What if we then exit a hot and humid February and enter Marvelous March and it turns out even hotter? Like +20+25 anoms up and down the eastern seaboard. I mean has anyone even considered that?
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Well I guess that would be a win. Lol If it isn’t going to snow give me highs in the 70’s and lows in the 40’s.
 
Jimmy Hypocracy said:
What if, now bear with me here, what if the models are wrong about February and it goes down as the hottest month in the hottest winter on record for the majority of the southeast? What if that happens? What if we then exit a hot and humid February and enter Marvelous March and it turns out even hotter? Like +20+25 anoms up and down the eastern seaboard. I mean has anyone even considered that?
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After this winter has been I wouldn't be surprised haha
 
Jimmy Hypocracy said:
What if, now bear with me here, what if the models are wrong about February and it goes down as the hottest month in the hottest winter on record for the majority of the southeast? What if that happens? What if we then exit a hot and humid February and enter Marvelous March and it turns out even hotter? Like +20+25 anoms up and down the eastern seaboard. I mean has anyone even considered that?
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Oh my, stop it! I can't accept those kind of questions lol. If that happens, all of us would have a melt down.

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Jimmy Hypocracy said:
What if, now bear with me here, what if the models are wrong about February and it goes down as the hottest month in the hottest winter on record for the majority of the southeast? What if that happens? What if we then exit a hot and humid February and enter Marvelous March and it turns out even hotter? Like +20+25 anoms up and down the eastern seaboard. I mean has anyone even considered that?
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I'm rooting for this now.
 
Jimmy Hypocracy said:
What if, now bear with me here, what if the models are wrong about February and it goes down as the hottest month in the hottest winter on record for the majority of the southeast? What if that happens? What if we then exit a hot and humid February and enter Marvelous March and it turns out even hotter? Like +20+25 anoms up and down the eastern seaboard. I mean has anyone even considered that?
Click to expand...

What if a cow jumps over the moon and poops on your house?


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Rain Cold said:
I'm rooting for this now.
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The thing that is worrisome is these models are programmed to show weather output using the teleconnections that “man” tells them are the driving factors in determining said weather..and I don’t believe those teleconnections drive the weather the same way they once did
 
Jimmy Hypocracy said:
The thing that is worrisome is these models are programmed to show weather output using the teleconnections that “man” tells them are the driving factors in determining said weather..and I don’t believe those teleconnections drive the weather the same way they once did
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They don't..... you do realize after hour 0 it's all math right

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Ollie Williams said:
honestly ever since the FV3 the GFS showing a storm means nothing. The Euro, however, is awesome when it shows a storm. I'm really looking forward to the next GFS upgrade.
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Euro hasn't been great either but definitely have to have it on board when there is a storm for sure.
 
Every run the gfs shows a completely different outcome.


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GFS didn’t give us our 50/50 low this run. Look what it tried to do with that big bombing coastal this run vs 18z..

00z
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18z
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We need that other LP over the Atlantic to trend stronger over the next several days similar to what happy hour was showing
 
Well, the 0z GFS does have the winter storm again during the last week, but it's not as good as it's 18z run. That's okay at this stage, there's not going to be consistency for details at this range. The consistency I'm looking for as of now is the signal for the winter storm. Another run on the list!

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Jimmy Hypocracy said:
Yeah idk how a something that large scale and important can change that drastically from run to run inside 8-9 days..and people wonder why our cold keeps disappearing inside 200hr like clockwork ??‍♂️
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Exactly I don't overstand it either! It's a freaking waste of time and money to run that piece of garbage............. And they have the nerve to run it every 6 hours! lol
 
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