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Misc Winter Weather Support Group

SD said:
Flip the pdo, cool the npac warm pool, flip the nao negative, get a coherent mjo wave to go past P7 lots of ways to do it and we can't.

I'll add that I'm old enough to remember when folks said the global base state was ridge west trough east
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It is technically, they are warmer than us on average even in their colder years. I still remember the “Ridiculously Resilient Ridge” out there from 2013-2016 or so. No one thought that would ever break.
 
LickWx said:
It is technically, they are warmer than us on average even in their colder years. I still remember the “Ridiculously Resilient Ridge” out there from 2013-2016 or so. No one thought that would ever break.
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You’re right. These things run in cycles, and always have. Eventually things will flip back to eastern troughs being dominant in the winter.
 
It’s tough to watch it rain when just a few days ago, you were watching it rip. It’s tough out here
 
ILMRoss said:
this place is such a ghost town compared to what i thought it would be to start the month :/
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Agreed. You know it’s been a rough winter when everyone checks out in mid February. I think everyone is pretty defeated. Winters around here are starting to feel like a one trick (January) pony.
 
Jimmy Hypocracy said:
Agreed. You know it’s been a rough winter when everyone checks out in mid February. I think everyone is pretty defeated. Winters around here are starting to feel like a one trick (January) pony.
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i have mild hope for a march surprise but not holding my breath. i understand at this time of year my latitude gives me a significant leg up compared to the rest of the board
 
ILMRoss said:
i have mild hope for a march surprise but not holding my breath. i understand at this time of year my latitude gives me a significant leg up compared to the rest of the board
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Even out here I'm like ready to just move on. I mean there's gonna be places in this state pushing 90 today 🤣

I know it can snow in March but I've seen no evidence it will yet
 
Itryatgolf said:
Guess I'm saying is how are they still considered as top 5 warmest? Interesting to me
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If it’s cold enough in the locale, a warm winter can sometimes mean even more snow as there’s more moisture in the air and it’s still cold enough for snow even if it’s warmer than average.
 
Jimmy Hypocracy said:
Agreed. You know it’s been a rough winter when everyone checks out in mid February. I think everyone is pretty defeated. Winters around here are starting to feel like a one trick (January) pony.
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And insult to injury, we had a January with below average temps and above average precipitation and still couldn't mange a single flake or pellet. I don't have a clue anymore.
 
Iceagewhereartthou said:
And insult to injury, we had a January with below average temps and above average precipitation and still couldn't mange a single flake or pellet. I don't have a clue anymore.
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I mean we technically had an inch and a half here in January but the Euro at one point had 8 inches and the EPS had nearly unanimous support for at least 3-4 inches. Like I remember when you could bank on what the Euro and EPS said. Clearly those days are over

Not to mention the 2-4 inch bust 3 weeks ago when it barely even snowed a flake. That's really when I was done
 
Brent said:
I mean we technically had an inch and a half here in January but the Euro at one point had 8 inches and the EPS had nearly unanimous support for at least 3-4 inches. Like I remember when you could bank on what the Euro and EPS said. Clearly those days are over

Not to mention the 2-4 inch bust 3 weeks ago when it barely even snowed a flake. That's really when I was done
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At least you saw some stuff.
 
ILMRoss said:
i have mild hope for a march surprise but not holding my breath. i understand at this time of year my latitude gives me a significant leg up compared to the rest of the board
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Not necessarily, you did not get much at all in March 1993.
 
Brent said:
Lmao if it's anything like Denver it was like snow one day 70 the next. They had had above normal snowfall even though you couldn't tell

The mountains were still solid when I was there though
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we have absolutely torched in Tennessee outside of one extremely cold week in January which was the coldest 7 day stretch in like 20 or so years. Because we got a big Snow that week most spots are above or right at average for the winter despite the heat. would you rather have one 6-12 inch snow and torch the rest of winter? Or would you rather be very cold all winter and get Nickel and dime events that resulted in no more then 2-3 inches for the winter? To me any big snow in the south east makes winter a grade of no worse then B-. That’s where I’m at but if not for that 7inch snow it would be an easy F-
 
Brent said:
I mean we technically had an inch and a half here in January but the Euro at one point had 8 inches and the EPS had nearly unanimous support for at least 3-4 inches. Like I remember when you could bank on what the Euro and EPS said. Clearly those days are over

Not to mention the 2-4 inch bust 3 weeks ago when it barely even snowed a flake. That's really when I was done
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What’s wild Brent is that models were doing the exact opposite for my area. Gfs and euro were spitting out less then 2inches the day before and even the morning of not much. It was the biggest surplus over what the globals were showing since I’ve lived here.
 
Iceagewhereartthou said:
And insult to injury, we had a January with below average temps and above average precipitation and still couldn't mange a single flake or pellet. I don't have a clue anymore.
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Yeah to me that stings just as much as the pattern going to crap in February. I honestly am not sure I’ve ever seen a January or February for that matter be below average on temperatures and not manage at least one winter weather event for the CLT area. It especially stings to know the pattern and set up was there, we just couldn’t get the timing
 
olhausen said:
Especially in mountains and lake effect snow belts.
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Yeah I would imagine that especially parts of northern Indiana and western NY would see more snow in a milder than average winter because the lakes never freeze up and they can see Lake Effect snow the whole season
 
Not only did RDU not get any measurable snow this winter, RDU didn't even get any non-measurable snow this winter. The final total will be 0.0". Not a trace, not a snowflake, not an ice pellet, not any freezing rain. The closest thing to any frozen precipitation all winter in this region was a few isolated flakes on December 18th near Clayton. At least 2005-06 and 2022-23 had a trace event or two...
 
olhausen said:
we have absolutely torched in Tennessee outside of one extremely cold week in January which was the coldest 7 day stretch in like 20 or so years. Because we got a big Snow that week most spots are above or right at average for the winter despite the heat. would you rather have one 6-12 inch snow and torch the rest of winter? Or would you rather be very cold all winter and get Nickel and dime events that resulted in no more then 2-3 inches for the winter? To me any big snow in the south east makes winter a grade of no worse then B-. That’s where I’m at but if not for that 7inch snow it would be an easy F-
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I'd much rather just have one big storm tbh. I think that's one reason I've been so annoyed about this winter because we haven't had more than 2 inches at once since February 2022 and we've had two storms that we were 1 degree away from beating that in both the last 2 winters. Yeah I mean at least we saw something but again our climo is a lot better too so I expect more here. That's the only problem when I moved north is I feel like automatically I just assumed it would be a lot better when in reality its really not

But I know when the 2022 storm happened I didn't care anymore after that if it snowed or not. This year obviously I didn't feel that way. Even after going to Colorado im still just like where did it go wrong this winter. We were just so close this year but never got there. I mean heck 3 hours up the road has 15-20 inches of snow. All I wanted was to for it just once translate down here
 
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Snow squall line incoming! This baby is convective! It was 76 today !! No way it can stick with raging ground temps and high sun angle! 🥴🥴4D3825DA-620A-4A0B-8E1C-5DFD1FA6119E.png
 
J.C. said:
You know I did!

My knee is so swollen I only rode two days. I have to be at Cat this weekend so I need to get my knee drained possibly. Getting old sucks.
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Yeah I've still been having on and off pain from what I did last week in Colorado. Getting old does suck and I'm noticing it more and more
 
SD said:
It's a shame that I'm looking forward to a pencil thin line of low topped showers today. So boring for so long
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At least yall get rain. Totally dry here 😩 I don't even remember the last time it rained. Probably the last time it was supposed to snow 🤣
 
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