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Misc Winter Weather Support Group

rburrel2 said:
I don't think going two winters without wintery weather for any persons backyard is that that uncommon, but what makes this stretch so unbearable is that it has happened for a massive geographical area in the Southeast, with hardly any credible threats during that timeframe, for anyone!

Atlanta/August/GSP/Columbia/Charleston/Myrtle Beach/Charlotte/Raleigh/Greenville,NC all blanked for two consecutive years.

I think even the NC foothills have more/less been blanked as well.
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Tennessee did get a pretty massive / historic storm and a great week of wintry weather, though.
 
superjames1992 said:
I told it it is early February and we haven’t had any snow yet, and it said:
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I asked it again today and said we still haven’t seen any snow yet, and now it’s suggesting to just “Enjoy Winter Regardless” of whether it snows. ?

If it's now mid-February and Durham, NC, still hasn't seen any snow, there are a few considerations to keep in mind:

1. **Weather Variability:** Winter weather can be highly variable, and snowfall predictions are subject to change based on shifting weather patterns. The absence of snow by mid-February, even with forecasts suggesting a higher likelihood due to conditions like a strong El Niño, highlights the unpredictable nature of weather.

2. **Late Season Snow:** It's not uncommon for regions that experience mild winters to receive snow later in the season. While the most likely periods for snow in Durham based on historical El Niño patterns have been identified as late January through February【6†source】【7†source】, snow can still occur in March. In fact, late season snowfalls have happened in the past, and the weather forecast from The Old Farmer's Almanac for March includes periods of rain and mild weather, which could potentially turn to snow if temperatures drop enough【7†source】.

3. **Climate Trends:** The broader trend of climate variability can also impact seasonal weather patterns, making certain weather events more or less likely. For example, warmer overall temperatures may reduce the frequency and intensity of snowfall in areas that historically received more.

4. **Staying Informed:** It's important to stay updated with local weather forecasts as they can provide the most current information. Meteorologists continually update forecasts based on the latest data, and a snow event could still be forecasted in the coming weeks.

5. **Enjoying Winter Regardless:** Whether or not snow falls, there are many ways to enjoy the winter season, from outdoor activities suited to cold weather to cozy indoor pursuits.

In summary, the lack of snow by mid-February, despite forecasts suggesting otherwise, is a reminder of the unpredictable nature of weather. It's always possible for conditions to change, and staying informed through local weather services is the best way to know what to expect as the season progresses.
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Tarheel1 said:
I hope I’m done with snow! I’m ready for spring
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I mean even this storm here tonight... Don't get me wrong it could still be good for somebody and it'll probably be decent here but this would have been downright historic if we just had cold air... That's how I feel about this whole winter nothing has reached its full potential

We've had one low below 30 the entire month in February our peak snow month
 
Brick Tamland said:
What's wrong about it?
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cleveland cavaliers love GIF by NBPA

superjames1992 said:
Tennessee did get a pretty massive / historic storm and a great week of wintry weather, though.
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You’d think if this was related to climate change we would also being seeing more massive KU type events along the east coast from time to time, even if we were missing out them. But those seemed to have vanished as well. Can’t even get a 40 degree rain/coastal bomb for I-95 anymore.
 
I specifically remember Greg Fishel talking about how it is harder to get snow in the Triangle because of our proximity to the ocean and the air being warmer coming off the ocean. It only makes sense then if the ocean is getting warmer and warmer then it will be even harder to get snow here.
 
Brick Tamland said:
I specifically remember Greg Fishel talking about how it is harder to get snow in the Triangle because of our proximity to the ocean and the air being warmer coming off the ocean. It only makes sense then if the ocean is getting warmer and warmer then it will be even harder to get snow here.
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How many times in last two seasons have you had a major storm and been a degree or two too warm for snow? I’m pretty sure it’s zero times. Any other theories?

In fact, iirc, your last storm in January 2022 you could have used some more warmth/juice with that one as it was plenty cold by lacking on moisture. So maybe we need a warmer ocean?
 
rburrel2 said:
How many times in last two seasons have you had a major storm and been a degree or two too warm for snow? I’m pretty sure it’s zero times. Any other theories?
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Why does it matter if it's a degree or two or 5 to 10 degrees too warm? It's still too warm. And there have been plenty of times in the past few years when we did get snow that the totals were cut down because of a warm layer that turned it to rain.
 
Mitch West said:
Same bro. My positivity has tanked today. I know that it can reverse at any point. But for now it’s just whatever at this point.
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I'm with y'all. I think I've reached that point of ready for the threats teases to be over. I'm the type of person in the heart of winter that is never happy if temps aren't in the 30s and hate warm days where highs are over 50s until I accept winter is over, then I embrace all those sub 80 days we have left until misery sets in come April/May. Time to embrace sub 80s again.
 
My theory is that when we do get a snow storm the GOM is so hot now almost boiling at 211 degrees Fahrenheit that the gulf robbing convection will be so bad there will be EF5 tornadoes in Macon and only a thick cold almost frozen cloud deck in the Carolinas
 
Some of you guys have to be posting stuff here simply to get reactions. No way some of this is real and if it is it'll be OK the sun will still come up tomorrow and the models will probably be different
 
In all seriousness where does everyone think we go from here? On to trying to track another late season system or onto something more springish just curious what everyone’s thoughts are
 
Ethan80963 said:
In all seriousness where does everyone think we go from here? On to trying to track another late season system or onto something more springish just curious what everyone’s thoughts are
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if something works out in March it will prob have to be a ULL like what Brent And Buford are seeing in Oklahoma today. They’re about to see some heavy snow
 
Ethan80963 said:
In all seriousness where does everyone think we go from here? On to trying to track another late season system or onto something more springish just curious what everyone’s thoughts are
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I’m done, we are gonna go past 1000 days snowless. Never thought I would see it
 
SD said:
Some of you guys have to be posting stuff here simply to get reactions. No way some of this is real and if it is it'll be OK the sun will still come up tomorrow and the models will probably be different
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The sun doesn’t work like it used to, either. Now we have nonstop sunshine for 24 hours a day and the sun angle has become more severe somehow.
 
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