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Misc Winter Weather Support Group

I think my hockey ? broke! ?
Cause this ain’t no pattern change and no cold air in Canada, on the 16th of February! ?⛳️??30F1EF82-FA82-4A80-9887-B82C7173C77B.png
 
That’s 18z! A lot has changed since 6pm. New wave sampled and Vodka cold is en route! ?
90s in Cuban and Cancun, coming our way… technically 90s are possible in a lot of the south in February and all the south come March even if unlikely … ooof… it was last February when models had Raleigh hitting 90 in feb.. we hit 85 or 86 I think in the end which is absurd
 
That’s actually a great question. Let’s ask the expert.
@Kitty Bump ?
You It You coming q to the right palace Jinny. IT a wise mam said building you hose upon the sand? You export Kitty Bump sqid it taking you snwo you not to get and, subtracit from you normals..=$ you kick to kick all you cans to spiring an now you godo patterns product negatively in you snwofall apartment THANK YOU take flow-up question
 
You It You coming q to the right palace Jinny. IT a wise mam said building you hose upon the sand? You export Kitty Bump sqid it taking you snwo you not to get and, subtracit from you normals..=$ you kick to kick all you cans to spiring an now you godo patterns product negatively in you snwofall apartment THANK YOU take flow-up question
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You It You coming q to the right palace Jinny. IT a wise mam said building you hose upon the sand? You export Kitty Bump sqid it taking you snwo you not to get and, subtracit from you normals..=$ you kick to kick all you cans to spiring an now you godo patterns product negatively in you snwofall apartment THANK YOU take flow-up question
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The problem I am seeing is the NBM is saying 0% across the board. (I didn't look at the mountains), but RDU, CLT, GSP, CAE.. zip, notta.

So while things look like they are "trending" okay with a "phase" situation.. over 100 models (bias corrected) are not budging as a whole.
 
I’m just not optimistic about this upcoming system. Seems like a lot of things have to go right that the models have going wrong right now. Maybe it’ll trend in our direction, but it could just as easily trend the wrong way. After these last few winters, it’s hard to ever be optimistic anymore. This isn’t the early 2010s any longer, never mind the 1980s. ?
 
The one silver lining living where I do is that “good” patterns pretty much always deliver. Of course the definition of “deliver” here is cooler than normal temps lmao.
 
Jan 2025 if we lucky
The bad thing is you can already tell that the storm track once again is not gonna work for the southeast mid-late feb. Pattern may be there but it’s gonna be more of the same arkansas, Alabama, Tennessee etc. Or maybe not even them. I know some will say you cant pay attention to that this far out but we know that’s what is coming.
 
It's supposed to get colder. And then it'll be dry. Then warm up and rain. And then we'll be in March and it's spring.
You should call big weather, mike maze, cat Campbell, and that guy that isn't very good on 17 and let them know your forecast and that theirs was wrong
 
The bad thing is you can already tell that the storm track once again is not gonna work for the southeast mid-late feb. Pattern may be there but it’s gonna be more of the same arkansas, Alabama, Tennessee etc. Or maybe not even them. I know some will say you cant pay attention to that this far out but we know that’s what is coming.
Based on what
 
Been since 91/92 winters that Raleigh had back to back snowless winters. I guess we were due.

And assuming this winter is snowless RDU's 30 yr avg will drop below 5" for the first time ever....4.94". It won't be long before we are in the 3s. For reference, in 1990, our 30yr avg was over 8".
 
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