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Misc Winter Weather Support Group

Snow Sucks! said:
Dang. My Feb 8-15 timeframe showing on models.

Too bad I'm wrong about the snow part and it's probably ice at best for cae if any winter precip even happens
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Whoops.

Let's hope that ice map above doesn't verify at all
 
Still haven't hit 50 degree's here since I don't know when. Looks like the cold front comes through Sunday so this warm spell is going to last less than 4 days?
 
The ice and freezing temps tore my yard UP!! The freshly graded red clay is just a mess. Tore everything up that I already did. Hardly any grass left between rain washing away, dogs rough housing and rabbits too. URGGG. So I'm doing it again (straw is so high) and planting a butt load of rye. It just occurred to me that maybe I should be throwing out Bermuda seed too. Or could I right now? Just gona have to do it all friggin again when the rye dies. Disgusting. Especially with red mud and dogs. I'm going to run away if I don't get rid of the red clay...puke. I loathe.
 
And gone
gfs_asnow_seus_65.png
 
Well, checking in, all I see is warm in February so far, and I just cant trust the weeklies. Certainly we could wedge into seasonal on occasion but nothing that says winter storm. For me, I'm still looking at February as an unlikely long shot. But I'm a weenie, I continue to wait and hope against my better judgement.

1706106352832.png
 
NoSnowATL said:
And gone
gfs_asnow_seus_65.png
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Bad run but still held that strong CAD idea. Something is brewing out there I think. Maybe. I hope. High pressure is really anchored in with more sliding down at the end of the run. Hopefully this is the trend here as we enter our final month of winter chances.IMG_6315.png
 
I think it's time to wrap this winter up for my area. I told you I would check the long range modeling at the third week in January to see if there were any legit opportunities and I see none. I'll see you for the tornado outbreaks...might have one on Saturday around these parts. Webber's prognostications might still hold for the NC peeps. Ya'll are still in the game!
 
SnowNiner said:
Well, checking in, all I see is warm in February so far, and I just cant trust the weeklies. Certainly we could wedge into seasonal on occasion but nothing that says winter storm. For me, I'm still looking at February as an unlikely long shot. But I'm a weenie, I continue to wait and hope against my better judgement.

View attachment 143238
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In all honesty you can pretty much throw these surface temperature maps in the garbage after 7 days or so out, especially on the east coast. There is just simply too strong a CAD signal starting next week on all of the 500mb charts to think these maps will pan out. Not saying that it’s going to be below average everyday or that we’re getting a winter storm out of it, but it’s just not setting up for us to torch after the next several days
 
Heelyes said:
View attachment 143244
The goat
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I never will forget how much forecasters were trying to catch up with this as it was unfolding. The weekend met on WBTV added a chance of light snow showers to the CLT metro forecast on the Sunday 6pm forecast with a better chance the further east you go. Then by the 11pm news he said that southeast parts of the viewing area could see up to a quick inch but that it wouldn’t be a big deal… those areas of course still has several inches of snow on the ground from the Saturday and Saturday night system and had a coat of ice on top from some ZR on Sunday morning. Then my dog woke me up needing to go out just before 3am on Monday morning and I was having trouble get back to sleep so I turned the TV and Paul Kocin was giving a live update on the Weather Channel talking about how the models were going crazy with some energy that was dropping down that was about 1000 miles further southeast than what models has indicated the day before. Then when I finally woke up for good just before 8 and turned on the TV, Al Conklin was on TV showing a WSW had just been issued and put the radar up and said that we were about to get dumped on.
 
Chazwin said:
I never will forget how much forecasters were trying to catch up with this as it was unfolding. The weekend met on WBTV added a chance of light snow showers to the CLT metro forecast on the Sunday 6pm forecast with a better chance the further east you go. Then by the 11pm news he said that southeast parts of the viewing area could see up to a quick inch but that it wouldn’t be a big deal… those areas of course still has several inches of snow on the ground from the Saturday and Saturday night system and had a coat of ice on top from some ZR on Sunday morning. Then my dog woke me up needing to go out just before 3am on Monday morning and I was having trouble get back to sleep so I turned the TV and Paul Kocin was giving a live update on the Weather Channel talking about how the models were going crazy with some energy that was dropping down that was about 1000 miles further southeast than what models has indicated the day before. Then when I finally woke up for good just before 8 and turned on the TV, Al Conklin was on TV showing a WSW had just been issued and put the radar up and said that we were about to get dumped on.
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Something like that could never happen in 2024 could it ?
 
Chazwin said:
I never will forget how much forecasters were trying to catch up with this as it was unfolding. The weekend met on WBTV added a chance of light snow showers to the CLT metro forecast on the Sunday 6pm forecast with a better chance the further east you go. Then by the 11pm news he said that southeast parts of the viewing area could see up to a quick inch but that it wouldn’t be a big deal… those areas of course still has several inches of snow on the ground from the Saturday and Saturday night system and had a coat of ice on top from some ZR on Sunday morning. Then my dog woke me up needing to go out just before 3am on Monday morning and I was having trouble get back to sleep so I turned the TV and Paul Kocin was giving a live update on the Weather Channel talking about how the models were going crazy with some energy that was dropping down that was about 1000 miles further southeast than what models has indicated the day before. Then when I finally woke up for good just before 8 and turned on the TV, Al Conklin was on TV showing a WSW had just been issued and put the radar up and said that we were about to get dumped on.
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I was only 10 at the time and remember my parents let me spend the night at my grandparents house that Sunday night, thinking school would cancel due to icy patches on the roads from another storm a couple days earlier. I woke up that Monday morning and found out CMS hadn’t canceled after all. Lo and behold, we ended up having an early dismissal just a couple hours later as conditions were rapidly deteriorating.
 
Chazwin said:
I never will forget how much forecasters were trying to catch up with this as it was unfolding. The weekend met on WBTV added a chance of light snow showers to the CLT metro forecast on the Sunday 6pm forecast with a better chance the further east you go. Then by the 11pm news he said that southeast parts of the viewing area could see up to a quick inch but that it wouldn’t be a big deal… those areas of course still has several inches of snow on the ground from the Saturday and Saturday night system and had a coat of ice on top from some ZR on Sunday morning. Then my dog woke me up needing to go out just before 3am on Monday morning and I was having trouble get back to sleep so I turned the TV and Paul Kocin was giving a live update on the Weather Channel talking about how the models were going crazy with some energy that was dropping down that was about 1000 miles further southeast than what models has indicated the day before. Then when I finally woke up for good just before 8 and turned on the TV, Al Conklin was on TV showing a WSW had just been issued and put the radar up and said that we were about to get dumped on.
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I love stories like this. Thank you for sharing! I was 8 during this storm. I wish I had memory of the hours leading up to it.
 
CltNative90 said:
I was only 10 at the time and remember my parents let me spend the night at my grandparents house that Sunday night, thinking school would cancel due to icy patches on the roads from another storm a couple days earlier. I woke up that Monday morning and found out CMS hadn’t canceled after all. Lo and behold, we ended up having an early dismissal just a couple hours later as conditions were rapidly deteriorating.
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Yeah I was surprised when CMS didn’t cancel to start with that day. There had just been 5 inches of snow 36 hours earlier and ice on top of it…side streets had a lot of icy patches on them. Then of course schools ended up dismissing by 9am as by that point the southern part of the county was just getting hammered
 
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