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Wintry Winter Storm Dec 7-10

MSnowAtl said:
Tight gradient over the city of Atlanta. 4 inches imby to a dusting in N. fulton County, GA. Still feel like this is going to go NW alittle.
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I just got a feeling of last year's storm with the look of things. Watch this thing jump NW tomorrow or Thursday. It's still coming NW and I have a feeling some will be very disappointed in the end that were expecting snow again.
 
Shoot, if it comes northwest, let it come northwest enough that the area I'm heading to this weekend gets a good snow.
 
I wonder how long it will be before Watches are issued ? Ive seen them issued 2 days in advance in many cases.
 
ForsythSnow said:
I just got a feeling of last year's storm with the look of things. Watch this thing jump NW tomorrow or Thursday. It's still coming NW and I have a feeling some will be very disappointed in the end that were expecting snow again.
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I am pulling for you guys, this might be your best shot for the winter. heck, this could end up being a good hit for most of us.
 
Good lord that nam run at 84. I wouldn't even care about not getting much through Saturday to take my chances with that h5 look

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For you Atlanta folks, this really has snowpocolypse 2014 written all over it. Nam caught the system first.. Shifting NW slowly... Starts showing impacts in Central Ga... Next in line is a WSW for Central GA a day and a half out (so tomorrow evening) (seems plausable)... Then media saying that metro will only get flurries and a dusting.. Then it trends nw at the last second and atl gets 2-3" with gridlock traffic.
 
bouncycorn said:
For you Atlanta folks, this really has snowpocolypse 2014 written all over it. Nam caught the system first.. Shifting NW slowly... Starts showing impacts in Central Ga... Next in line is a WSW for Central GA a day and a half out (so tomorrow evening) (seems plausable)... Then media saying that metro will only get flurries and a dusting.. Then it trends nw at the last second and atl gets 2-3" with gridlock traffic.
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Let’s hope so. Haven’t seen snow since. Minus the traffic disaster.
 
bouncycorn said:
For you Atlanta folks, this really has snowpocolypse 2014 written all over it. Nam caught the system first.. Shifting NW slowly... Starts showing impacts in Central Ga... Next in line is a WSW for Central GA a day and a half out (so tomorrow evening) (seems plausable)... Then media saying that metro will only get flurries and a dusting.. Then it trends nw at the last second and atl gets 2-3" with gridlock traffic.
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That’s exactly how it was for us when we lived in vestvia for that storm and it was awesome!! I haven’t seen an accumulating snow since then. I’m a little further south, but it has sucked since then for me
 
This setup may be similar to 2014, but there are differences, one of the major ones is what caused the horror show we saw on the highways, it's going to be warmer during the event, and warmer going in so we aren't going to see as much icing.
 
bouncycorn said:
For you Atlanta folks, this really has snowpocolypse 2014 written all over it. Nam caught the system first.. Shifting NW slowly... Starts showing impacts in Central Ga... Next in line is a WSW for Central GA a day and a half out (so tomorrow evening) (seems plausable)... Then media saying that metro will only get flurries and a dusting.. Then it trends nw at the last second and atl gets 2-3" with gridlock traffic.
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How similar are the pattern setups between the two stores out of curiosity? It does seem similar but how is this storm the same or different?
 
bouncycorn said:
For you Atlanta folks, this really has snowpocolypse 2014 written all over it. Nam caught the system first.. Shifting NW slowly... Starts showing impacts in Central Ga... Next in line is a WSW for Central GA a day and a half out (so tomorrow evening) (seems plausable)... Then media saying that metro will only get flurries and a dusting.. Then it trends nw at the last second and atl gets 2-3" with gridlock traffic.
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It was more to do with how seriously cold it was than the actual snow. Once it fell it stuck immediately; then folks went out and it turned to ice. Not snow over warmer ground like this could be; not to minimize the effect but huge difference in the situations.
 
GeorgiaGirl said:
This setup may be similar to 2014, but there are differences, one of the major ones is what caused the horror show we saw on the highways, it's going to be warmer during the event, and warmer going in so we aren't going to see as much icing.
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Right and we won't have a sleet storm either, maybe some sleet but mostly either rain or snow.
 
LetItSnow said:
It was more to do with how seriously cold it was than the actual snow. Once it fell it stuck immediately; then folks went out and it turned to ice. Not snow over warmer ground like this could be; not to minimize the effect but huge difference in the situations.
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The projected high temperature was 42 that day via NAM but it only got to like 27. All due to radiational cooling of falling flakes.

Further connecting to this system, there will be ample cold air aloft to support lower snow production level (dgz). Either way, it likely won't end up being as cold... but the snowfall MAY be the same in terms of the prognosis being central ga and then n/nw ga at the last second (only within 12-24 hours before event)
 
There's no 500mb maps for RGEM on TT, but the SLP is significantly slower on 00z vs 18z. (SW GOM instead of Central GOM) Precip is slightly further north also.
 
Our SW shortwave is already further back west/slower at hour 12 on the GFS compared to the 18z run. Wow.
 
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