Wintry Winter Storm Dec 7-10

[Webberweather53]

Isn't the "sw bias" due to higher resolution problems? If so, the Canadian has been tweaked around 4dVAR or something along those lines and very well could be suffering from the same thing, if the idea is even true at all.

Now I'm not sure if this over-amplification bias is partially attributable to the Euro's resolution, convective parameterizations, depiction of elevation in the model, none or a combination of these or perhaps even something else. Taking this question that far would be something worth posing to the European Center itself or looking for in literature..

 

[ForsythSnow]

Oh boy. Snow in NGA at 102 through NC with mix in Pensacola.

 

[SoutheastRidge]

Wouldnt it be funny if our best chance of snow all winter came in December this year and the rest of winter torched ?

 

[Webberweather53]

This run has heavy wet snow - rain/snow mix over RDU by 108

 

[Brick Tamland]

Sounds like a much better run from the Euro this time.

 

[Webberweather53]

This run has heavy wet snow - rain/snow mix over RDU by 108
View attachment 1791

Timed it pretty nicely w/ the heaviest precipitation coming in the overnight hours

 

[sigwx]

Oh boy. Snow in NGA at 102 through NC with mix in Pensacola.

Is that on the EURO

 

[ForsythSnow]

Looks better for more areas this run. Just would like a little more moisture up here in GA to get some good snow.

 

[Blue_Ridge_Escarpment]

Definitely a better run for NC especially WNC on the euro. I would call this a NW trend especially in relation to the precip field.

 

[Metwannabe]

Couple of possible threats before Christmas and Webb is handling the pbp, does not get much better than that! Dilly dilly!

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[Webberweather53]

Given the mixing w/ rain, moist profile, potential for rain to fall at the onset, warmish ground temps, should at least cut these totals back in half or two-thirds. Still end up w/ an inch maybe two over central NC in the sweet spots on this run verbatim

 

[Blue_Ridge_Escarpment]

Given the mixing w/ rain, moist profile, potential for rain to fall at the onset, warmish ground temps, should at least cut these totals back in half or two-thirds. Still end up w/ an inch maybe two over central NC in the sweet spots on this run verbatim
View attachment 1792

Nice hole over Carowinds. Ouch.

 

[Metwannabe]

Given the mixing w/ rain, moist profile, potential for rain to fall at the onset, warmish ground temps, should at least cut these totals back in half or two-thirds. Still end up w/ an inch maybe two over central NC in the sweet spots on this run verbatim
View attachment 1792

Let's see if Rah continues to be the stubborn holdout....

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[RollTide18]

Given the mixing w/ rain, moist profile, potential for rain to fall at the onset, warmish ground temps, should at least cut these totals back in half or two-thirds. Still end up w/ an inch maybe two over central NC in the sweet spots on this run verbatim
View attachment 1792

What does it look like in AL/GA?

 

[accu35]

Boa

Given the mixing w/ rain, moist profile, potential for rain to fall at the onset, warmish ground temps, should at least cut these totals back in half or two-thirds. Still end up w/ an inch maybe two over central NC in the sweet spots on this run verbatim
View attachment 1792

Can you take that map west some lol!!

 

[Webberweather53]

 

[accu35]

CMC you da bomb, still time for this to get better

 

[Snowflowxxl]

Really liking where N Ga is sitting with the NW trend likely too continute

 

[$alt]

For my Midlands friends (of SC), temps are poop; but mixing possible per that Euro.

 

[accu35]

View attachment 1793

CASH IN NOW LOL!!!