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Wintry Winter Storm Dec 7-10

NAM 500mb: You can see the shift from westerly to the SW flow as the baroclinic zone pushes southward. The models are having a difficult time depicting the upper level moisture. Remember to look at the 500mb charts, not just the surface.
c1148a7ab8fa18c8451d6d19a680dbe1.gif
 
700mb looks crazy. Very strong SW flow. Above freezing south of I-20 until jour 60
 
For my Columbia, SC friends, when you see the maps your minds may be blown. Don't fall for it. 850 go > 0c when the heavier stuff gets here as the low starts going and tracking closer to the coast.
 
25-40 more miles to the NW and I’ll be sitting pretty. Right where I need to be at this time.
 
Shawn said:
For my Columbia, SC friends, when you see the maps your minds may be blown. Don't fall for it. 850 go > 0c when the heavier stuff gets here as the low starts going and tracking closer to the coast.
Click to expand...

On the outside looking in...LOL!


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Shawn said:
Hey, just 2 miles from us they get 3-4 inches while we have 0.1-0.5 of mixed sleet. I love Lexington, SC so much.
Click to expand...

I’m still paying for the 4.5” of snow on Nov 1st 2014...SMH!


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Here is the 84 hour snow map. Still snowing after for many:
84hr.png
 
loool if the NAM is true both my area and Lafayette get jipped....ANNNNDDDDD we probably won't be going to the Christmas Party my family is hosting in Lafayette (which is why saying there too is important) this weekend because I-20 is closed so I won't be able to see any of it.
 
I'm trying to get excited, but then I keep being reminded that it's the NAM and because of silly superstition, I'm not sure I want to get NAM'd this soon. If the GFS gets on board and the UK, Canadian, Euro hold serve I may have to finally put all my chips on the table.

EDIT: I'm also reminded and haunted of the epic FAIL of January 2017. We got the screwjob so good from that storm. 3-5 inches of snow my butt. I'm still pissed about it to this day. lol
 
The NAM should be renamed to the HLS (hook, line and sinker) ;)

In all seriousness though it did look much better within the first 48 hours which is about how far out I half way trust the NAM so there is that
 
------ NAM...now I'm not going to get any work done tonight.
The moisture orientation looks eerily similar to Jan 2014...obviously without the bitterly cold surface temps. Had snowfall at 21 that day. I haven't looked at the 2M temps yet, but last I saw they were low to mid 30s for I-20 thru GA
 
Awesome trends today with the models. This storm is really looking good right now.
 
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Shawn said:
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In other words gusts don't miss out! Register now!:D
 
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