Wintry Winter Discussion 2023/24

[Myfrotho704_]

EPS is no Bueno, most of the members actually look good northern stream wise, but shear out the southern wave, the euro kept it going and almost phased it at the end. It’s a timing pattern that’s for sure

But it’s worth noting, this is one of the best EPS runs for the overall longwave pattern, and probably the coldest run yet. I’m happy with tonight’s runs

 

[Myfrotho704_]

 

[jeremyt]

View attachment 138918

So you're not feeling the globals for the time frame around the 6th?

 

[iGRXY]

6z GFS just misses a big dog as the trailing energy is late to phase otherwise this is a monster. But same timeframe.

 

[Tarheel1]

View attachment 138919
6z GFS just misses a big dog as the trailing energy is late to phase otherwise this is a monster. But same timeframe.

What is the in house Bouncycorn model showing?

 

[Mitch West]

Safe to say we are working this pattern shift into a period now where it doesn't look like it's going to punk us. Now it's just trying to find a storm. Of course, things can trend a little better or worse as always, but its looking likely now that a shift is on the way. Great model runs overnight into this morning. Ready to rage & also to get hurt.

 

[Chazwin]

View attachment 138919
6z GFS just misses a big dog as the trailing energy is late to phase otherwise this is a monster. But same timeframe.

There definitely seems to be some players on the field during that timeframe. Hopefully they can come together

 

[Jrips2710]

0z Euro control also has something

 

[Myfrotho704_]

This mornings 06z gefs run with a handful of big dawgs and smaller events, and a really solid look at H5

 

[NCSNOW]

We've never had a white New years eve, Day. Im getting old and nows as good a time as any. Harder to hit than a white christmas.

 

[Broken024]

Canadian has a little something

 

[CaryWx]

Definitely picking up on something with a southern mover. How much and where who knows.

 

[Brent]

If it's gonna be this cold it better snow ?

 

[tramadoc]

The deer are thicker around here this winter, for what it’s worth….where’s Corey the critter guy?

Yeah… I’d say so. Never seen a deer this fat. I’ve named him Fat Tony.

 

[BHS1975]

Yeah… I’d say so. Never seen a deer this fat. I’ve named him Fat Tony.

Dang he's swole.


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[tramadoc]

Dang he's swole.


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Like a tick.

 

[ATLwxfan]

We’re talking obese deer in this thread. Thats how bad of a winter we’re having. I guess we will see about the PV hype train. Looks good on paper but nothing is stronger than the Pacific jet. It is the dominant weather determinant in Ninos and Nina’s.


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[ATLwxfan]

Listen closely to the sound of the proverbial can getting kicked…

x.com

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[BullCityWx]

Listen closely to the sound of the proverbial can getting kicked…

x.com

x.com

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Have you ignored the January thread just so you can complain?

 

[Chazwin]

Listen closely to the sound of the proverbial can getting kicked…

x.com

x.com

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This is pretty much what Webb has been on here talking about for several weeks, and he’s been pretty much spot on the last few winters with how the pattern has transpired. Also this follows right along with climo as well.