severestorm
Member
40 inches for Asheville. Now I seen everything.
40 inches for Asheville. Now I seen everything.
I can’t imagine that’s for Asheville specifically. I am sure that’s for the higher elevations just west of there.40 inches for Asheville. Now I seen everything.
I can’t imagine that’s for Asheville specifically. I am sure that’s for the higher elevations just west of there.
Looks like this one from 2014-2015 el Nino.
I want some of that that dude is smoking. Seriously .40 inches for Asheville. Now I seen everything.
Like I said, I think that’s more for the higher elevations just west of Asheville than near the city itself. That said, it’s not out of the realm of possibility for the city itself to get in the 30-40” range in a strong El Niño. Both ‘92-93 and ‘97-98 gave them that much… both years had two big storms late in the seasonI want some of that that dude is smoking. Seriously .
He's one of the best most tenured Mets around this area but go off.I want some of that that dude is smoking. Seriously .
Definitely not conservative like WRAL. Even when they are calling for above average snow they still only called for 5 to 7 inches here.
If that map is centimeters, then I’ll buy it.40 inches for Asheville. Now I seen everything.
Griteater’s Winter Outlook (23-24)
After a 2 year hiatus, I am so back with a winter outlook. I look at this crap way too much in the offseason to not put together some type of outlook.
Link to PDF:
Griteater’s Winter Outlook (23-24)
After a 2 year hiatus, I am so back with a winter outlook. I look at this crap way too much in the offseason to not put together some type of outlook.
Link to PDF:
Exactly what you expect in an El Niño
You must include your own back yard...My official Snow total Forecast for select locations.
SD back yard 9.3
Brick back yard 11.1
Jonesville SC 10.0
Roanoke Rapids 14
Top of Beach Mountain 146
120 + inches of Digital Fantasy Snow.You must include your own back yard...
Is Jonesville getting 1000:1 rates because otherwise I don't think they can get there.My official Snow total Forecast for select locations.
SD back yard 9.3
Brick back yard 11.1
Jonesville SC 10.0
Roanoke Rapids 14
Top of Beach Mountain 146
Big Frosty 18.6
This is why I’ve believed that we will end up above average on temps this winter. You can’t overlook what the history of a strong east based El Niño does. Now it’s important to remember that a good bit of what I think will be 1-3F above average could end up being in overnight lows being held up due to cloud cover and higher dewpoints from an active STJ that’s also a staple of strong east based El Niño.East based el nino are a harbinger for mild SE winters. If webb is correct and Im hearing him right, this is a red flag for me. Big difference in west based verse east based mod - strong el ninos. I am no fan of these.
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I hope we can squeeze an opportunity or two in between, one can only hopeThis is why I’ve believed that we will end up above average on temps this winter. You can’t overlook what the history of a strong east based El Niño does. Now it’s important to remember that a good bit of what I think will be 1-3F above average could end up being in overnight lows being held up due to cloud cover and higher dewpoints from an active STJ that’s also a staple of strong east based El Niño.
Always negativity. We will have our chances as usual.East based el nino are a harbinger for mild SE winters. If webb is correct and Im hearing him right, this is a red flag for me. Big difference in west based verse east based mod - strong el ninos. I am no fan of these.
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Just think the chance is going be even narrower than before. Not a fan of strong east base ninos . Why I can’t get excitedAlways negativity. We will have our chances as usual.
One thing that I’ve pointed out since the summer is that even though strong east based El Niño typically will come out a little above average temperature wise in the southeast, that doesn’t mean that there aren’t still a few opportunities for winter storms. For example, KGSO and KCLT both have their highest average snowfall seasons in years that have a strong El Niño. Obviously one reason is that there is typically going to be plenty of moisture thanks to an active STJ.Just think the chance is going be even narrower than before. Not a fan of strong east base ninos . Why I can’t get excited
What's interesting is Dr. Roundy from UOA said that he believes DEC and March may be the coldest months due to -AAM background this year.Common sense in any el nino would tell you dont get your hopes up for December and practice patience.
LolWhat's interesting is Dr. Roundy from UOA said that he believes DEC and March may be the coldest months due to -AAM background this year.
I just don’t think it’s ever likely that December is going to be the coldest month in an El Niño winter. Even in El Nino Decembers that have had impressive cold spells in them, 1992, 1997, and 2009, those years still had long stretches of mild weather for the east. Possibly March is going to be on the chilly side this year as the Nino will be weakening and the ENSO looks to be headed back to a La Niña, but I still think longest stretches of cooler temperatures compared to average will be from mid January to late FebruaryWhat's interesting is Dr. Roundy from UOA said that he believes DEC and March may be the coldest months due to -AAM background this year.
Depending on where you live this has some legs I thinkWhat's interesting is Dr. Roundy from UOA said that he believes DEC and March may be the coldest months due to -AAM background this year.
I don't think the -AAM is going to change quickly so which months do you think will have the best opportunity to be cold, if any?Depending on where you live this has some legs I think