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Wintry Winter Discussion 2023/24

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Snow coverage at the same time looks good. Particularly up in Canada. If we can keep that building, we'll have an abundant "home grown" (northern hemisphere) cold source. And of course, we'll need an eastern trough.

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That will never last… doubt half that even accumulate be honest … we have ways to go get some serious cold into the northern hemisphere even still
 
If you look at the map in the Farmer's Almanac for Winter 2023-2024 the dividing line for cold and snowy and mild and wet is right over the Eastern Piedmont of North Carolina. That's exactly where the dividing line is between rain and snow for many of our winter storms. For the Southeast, the almanac is calling for a very warm November at 5 degrees above normal, an average December and January will be 2 degrees below normal. February will be 1 degree below normal.
 
Snow coverage at the same time looks good. Particularly up in Canada. If we can keep that building, we'll have an abundant "home grown" (northern hemisphere) cold source. And of course, we'll need an eastern trough.

Greenland, though, wow! That's off the charts. What will all that weight due to plate tectonics?
 
Greenland, though, wow! That's off the charts. What will all that weight due to plate tectonics?
You'll see that in the middle of summer. Greenland is covered in thousands of feet of ice. They should honestly show the interior areas of Greenland as blank.
 
Look for a long boring winter… nothing track but maybe a system or two between January to mid February , and they wind up being cold 33. 34 degree rain systems ….
Jackson averages what 3-4 inches a year? One storm and you're above avg!
 
This is relevant to those of us in the triad and NW triangle:

Yeah i saw this yesterday. Interesting, but that map is still around or just under climo for those spots. This is where i was born and lived most of my life. Chances are there for a big Nor'Easter this Winter imo. Time will tell.
 
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This is relevant to those of us in the triad and NW triangle:

Time will tell on forecast verification, but pet peeve is lumping strong and super El Ninos together. Grouping moderate and strong El Ninos is more logical IMO, with supers being more beastly
 
Old Kirk Melish as is DMV is also taking note of the easterly QBO. Also points out that the Tonga eruption with its water vapor injection into the upper atmosphere is an unknown variable.
 
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