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Misc Winter 22-23 Whamby and Banter Thread Part 2

Pretty paltry maps for snow right now. First one is for 24 hour forecast snowfall; got to be about as empty as you'll ever see for first half of Feb!

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Second is current US snow cover; also seems like it has to be VERY low for this time of year.

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Beech and cataloochee should be OK. Kinda surprised the base of beech isn't sticking yet but it was forecasted, I hate these storms that waste so much qpf on rain.
 
Bham 99 said:
We've been hearing that for weeks. Next weekend is going to be cold. Especially if you are in Tennessee.
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Next 10 days is a torch, 7-8F AN across the Carolina’s, these weekend cool downs aren’t even showing up on means, there’s only 3 days below 60 degree on a 15 days ensemble mean.. ? looks like a whole mid March forecast 3B34019B-1149-4E1C-A367-4700745D806B.png16762E39-6E49-4916-A480-3CDC621FC2DB.png73796EC3-C20D-463B-9798-89EF81605B0A.png
 
Tonight the aliens we’ve been shooting down will land at the Super Bowl halftime show. Won’t be too concerned about missing out on this wintry system when Mars attacks. ?

/s, I think. ?
 
ATLwxfan said:
People seem to be excited by the trends toward the end of the month. So this is exciting???//uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/20230212/e6ae8164b60d56c3127212aa99092ad5.jpg


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
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Hard to roll with the mean at that lead when looking at the individual members and plumes. Gefs has a 61 degree spread on highs one day, obviously the high of 18 is likely overdone but even the more conservative eps has spreads on the order of 40-45. Unless something changes drastically with the models in the pacific the only thing that saves the last 5 or so days of the month is NATL help and potentially drawing the tpv southwest making cold more available. If that doesn't happen we are well AN with an occasional cool period mixed in
 
FallsLake said:
Looking at the GFS and Canadian I would think our next real chance of a winter storm is around 10 days out. Verbatim the GFS would have a central VA - mid-Atlantic storm. But at this range we just need ducks on the water (cold air to our north and a storm in the east). The Canadian looks good as well (..with the ducks) and verbatim looks to be setting up for something good. Who knows. If we're going to get a storm we need something to happen soon. Clocks ticking.
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The GFS should be ignored at all times after that horrible performance this week with it and it's ensembles. I'd advise most to not even give it a 2nd though even inside 72 hrs as we saw this week.
 
RainlessSnowless & Grumpy said:
The GFS should be ignored at all times after that horrible performance this week with it and it's ensembles. I'd advise most to not even give it a 2nd though even inside 72 hrs as we saw this week.
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Well if the euro whiffed harder than the GFS on this storm around here in a shorter range it too sucks. This is not a good year for any model it seems. They need to do some serious work to get them up to par across the board.
 
What's everybody eating for the game? I tend to do seafood appetizers like crab balls and shrimp to go with the meat log, cheese, wings, chips and dip.
 
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