Misc Winter 22-23 Whamby and Banter Thread Part 2

[Tarheel1]

Tree crusher 2 electric boogaloo! Speaking of ?

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Tree crusher 2 electric boogaloo! Speaking of ? View attachment 129484View attachment 129485

The way he labeled that measly 50/50 low a “vortex” ?

And nearly stationary high pressure lmfao

 

[SnowNiner]

The main difference between this pattern and the snowstorms of 2018/2004 is that in 2018/2004 the SE Canada vortex looked to be a feature of the long wave pattern, and there wasn’t much room for that to budge. The SE Canada vortex in this pattern looks to be a transient synoptic wave caused by the phasing of two s/w’s.

I’m not buying any of the snowy models yet because ensemble support is too lackluster. In addition, models almost always overdo phasing and amplification (especially the Euro).

There’s always lots of volatility in the handling of those waves, so I would expect to see a lack of consistency in the coming days with that 50/50 low. This is our greatest chance for snow all season east of the Apps, but that’s not saying much.

Yeah, admit ensembles don't look great to me....but Euro and Ukmet combo keeps making me look. The SE Canada vortex always seems to move out of the position we need it in closer to go time. Being over a week out, you just know it's not likely to stay in position come verification. But I'm a weenie, so I track.

 

[Rain Cold]

Yeah, admit ensembles don't look great to me....but Euro and Ukmet combo keeps making me look. The SE Canada vortex always seems to move out of the position we need it in closer to go time. Being over a week out, you just know it's not likely to stay in position come verification. But I'm a weenie, so I track.

Don't waste your time man. We have our 15 minute window on deck on 1/29.

 

[Ollie Williams]

Even if this storm doesn't happen, at least we can say we had one insane fantasy Euro run this season.

The archive thread is rockin' this week!

 

[Brick Tamland]

Euro and GEFS both showing the storm on the 13th! And that would be about 10 days away from the severe weather we had here Wednesday! It's happening, folks! Get ready for the boom!

 

[Brick Tamland]

12z Euro 1/5
Big Dog Bombing ULL! Up there with the all-time best Euro runs.
View attachment 129496View attachment 129497
View attachment 129499

 

[RainlessSnowless & Grumpy]

Euro and GEFS both showing the storm on the 13th! And that would be about 10 days away from the severe weather we had here Wednesday! It's happening, folks! Get ready for the boom!

Here we go. You've bought into a long range storm again. See you in here in a few days again asking why the models are always wrong on fantasy snows. ?‍

 

[Brick Tamland]

Here we go. You've bought into a long range storm again. See you in here in a few days again asking why the models are always wrong on fantasy snows. ?‍

Aren't you a grumpy grump.

 

[KyloG]

I got 2 kids that just threw up everywhere…kill me now. ?

 

[Brick Tamland]

Seriously, just have to keep an eye on this the next couple of days to see if a real chance materializes for a winter storm around the 13th.

 

[BIG FROSTY]

00z GFS appears it's not gonna do it. To warm!

 

[Brick Tamland]

CMC showing the same storm.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

@BIG FROSTY after that run of the Canadian

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

I’m punting for my area BUT I’m really thinking about heading to Sugar Mountain next weekend.

 

[Brick Tamland]

 

[BIG FROSTY]

@BIG FROSTY after that run of the Canadian View attachment 129505

Fancy Gap 30 minutes away. But hey I'm gonna be stuck at home with just 2-3 feet snow..... lol

 

[Brent]

In B4 the storm trends out here again like the Christmas one /s

 

[Shaggy]

Looks like tonight's cmc is taking a play from the dgex playbook

 

[Shawn]

All models too warm besides Canadian at this point. We get sleep, yay!