Misc Winter 22-23 Whamby and Banter Thread Part 2

[Tarheel1]

MJO going into 8,1,2. Its about to get wild.

Apparently, western trough overrides this! ?

 

[Snowfan]

Or the MJO forecast is wrong and the ensembles are right, or the MJO forecast is right and the ensembles are picking up on something that over-rides the MJO effects, or the MJO forecast is right and the ensembles are completely, unreliably, innaccurate. Something is working to not bring cold to this side of the globe.

Or it’s on the warm side of P8-P2.

 

[ghost1]

Can we please just have one more polar blast before the end of January for the midsouth/SE? It doesn’t have to be anything like Christmas… just a couple nights in the upper teens and highs in the low 30s. Also can I order a decent disturbance swinging through the lower Mississippi Valley thru S AL then gliding up the Carolina coastlines? Please? Is that too much to ask?

 

[KyloG]

Upcoming modeled pattern reminds me of 2016 but that was strong nino...

 

[KyloG]

For some hope...cold is marginal, but back that ridge up a little and think cold thoughts would help.

 

[KyloG]

GSO EPS 24hr snowfall. That's a fairly large signal.

And no...I am not buying any shovels...yet.

 

[NoSnowATL]

Was never going to be an outbreak. More like our avg severe type system in the SE. It’s happens 10-20 times a year.

 

[NoSnowATL]

No gulf coastal robbery this time around. Should help the storm chances in GA/SC.

 

[Drizzle Snizzle]

If I see one more person say today's date is January 3, 2022 i'm gonna scream !

 

[KyloG]

Sign me up

 

[NoSnowATL]

If I see one more person say today's date is January 3, 2022 i'm gonna scream !

Welcome back Dan

 

[Brent]

If I see one more person say today's date is January 3, 2022 i'm gonna scream !

January 3 2022

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Going to break character and say this looks a little better.

View attachment 129256

Unfortunately winter is over. 3rd year La Niña and SER torch. 6 possible hours of sleet January 31st.

 

[Tarheel1]

This is whack! Average high is 28 and average low is 12. Somebody stop the madness! You

 

[KyloG]

Unfortunately winter is over. 3rd year La Niña and SER torch. 6 possible hours of sleet January 31st.

6 hours of sleet…I’ll take it. ?

 

[Rain Cold]

didnt i see that there was some ensembke support fir a coastal low??

?

 

[weatherfide]

January 3 2022

I went outside but I didn't hear no screaming from the ATL.

 

[Chazwin]

6 hours of sleet…I’ll take it. ?

I had literally 8 straight hours of sleet back on 12/20 and only had a little white in the eaves of the roof to show for it

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

GFS had an apocalyptic blowtorch late in the run. Source region on fire. It’s cruise season! ? ? At least we had the Christmas arctic outbreak. That was cool.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

I can’t even do thunder good. I got one measly clap about 7 hours ago and that was it. #NatGas