Not great when HM isn’t positive lol
-
Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!
Wintry Winter 2021-2022 predictions
- Thread starter Myfrotho704_
- Start date
Last year was a Nina, right?
I did great with almost 200% of normal snowfall, but started last year about on todays date, with a trace! I’m hoping the later start to cold weather , will allow it to hit like a ton of bricks and have a little more staying power! I get excited about cutters now and clippers!
?
NoSnowATL
Member
Well he hasn’t been great the last few years as well. Winter is such a crap shoot.
It wasn’t great when he was positive, at least if I understood correctly what I think he said when he said it talking about something. I think.
to be fair He lives further NE where they got several winter storms last winter, most of the time when he’s talking about a great snow producing pattern like last year, he’s talking about the MA/NE
Exactly. I’m going into winter with no expectations. In 2013 all I remember hearing is how the winter will torch and we had the coldest temps I’ve ever seen by a lot. I think 2017-2018 was supposed to be a torch fest and I had the most snow since ‘93. Im not even gonna touch all the years that were supposed to be great, yet ended up torching.
Just gonna enjoy the ride as always.
NoSnowATL
Member
I listen to one person when it comes to winter storms. Kirk MF Mellish.
What he's leaving off is this:
1) SSW was LATE in Dec of 2001, centered around 12/23: focus on the gray on the far right. You're not going to get cooling down here from a SSW until after it happens:
2) For 12/1-23, before the SSW, KATL was quite mild with +6.
3) For the half month after the SSW (12/24-1/8), KATL was a whopping -9 along with 4.6" of snow.
So, there was quite a cold effect that could be attributed to the SSW after all. You just have to dig for the details.
KATL data from here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=ffc
Dewpoint Dan
Member
Didn't he retire ?
Dewpoint Dan
Member
I take it you're not the kind of guy who likes dry and cold.
NoSnowATL
Member
Yes but he does his blog.
At the end of the day we in the SE have to depend on crazy weather to give us the winter we want we have no good connection to cold other than CAD and that only benefits some of us .. we need dynamic systems or great patterns or outstanding blocking .. these can create events to remember but at the end of the day we don’t have those often but you can always bank on at least a stretch that has a solid chance for us to get what we want so that’s what I always try to look for every winter..
cd2play
Member
No thank you. Middle TN got to enjoy relentless flooding rains that winter. A warm and dry winter with about 2 weeks of cold with one board wide event works for me, however.
NoSnowATL
Member
What is Maxer saying? They are the true Mets with a 100% accuracy rate.
LickWx
Member
They are saying there’s a cold bias in the models . Also something about #NATGAS
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
Well, too bad the forum is for weather in the south and not the midwest.
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
Same here. I hate the cold unless it comes with snow.
SimeonNC
Member
Am I the only one who likes cold weather? I'd take a cold winter over a torch any day of the week.