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Pattern Winter 2019/2020 Model Archive

06z 1/10 GEFS
Highest GEFS Mean I've seen the entire winter. Member 6 is 4ft (it skewed the mean a bit)
GEFSMA_prec_meansnacc_384.png
GEFSMA_prec_snens_384.png
w/ sleet
GEFS mean 06z.PNGGEFS members.PNG
 
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Some other runs 00z 1/11 and 06z 1/11 (06z is highest since the 06z above) EPS is also the highest I've seen.
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Ollie Williams said:
Interestingly enough we saw another high 06z GEFS model run. (Not as high as 06z yesterday though)
View attachment 30249View attachment 30250
The Euro also had a large Jump in the Mean. Some big dogs mixed in
View attachment 30251View attachment 30252View attachment 30253
View attachment 30255
Click to expand...
http://southernwx.com/community/threads/january-2020-operation-thaw-alaska.663/page-62
 
00z 1/12 EPS
Highest mean in over a year and a huge increase from the 12z run
00z
ecmwf-ensemble-avg-se-total_snow_10to1-0083200.png
12z
ecmwf-ensemble-avg-se-total_snow_10to1-0040000.pngecmwf-ensemble-avg-se-snow_total_multimember_panel_ecmwf_b-0083200.png

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-se-snow_total_multimember_panel_ecmwf_a-0083200.png
Probabilities for over an inch
ecmwf-ensemble-avg-se-snow_ge_1-0083200.png
ecmwf-ensemble-KGSO-indiv_snow-8787200.png
 
Ollie Williams said:
18z 1/15
Happy hour, maybe one of the biggest runs for the board
View attachment 31082View attachment 31083View attachment 31084View attachment 31085View attachment 31087View attachment 31088View attachment 31089
Click to expand...
12z 1/15 EPS Control
Control has a system
ezgif-5-9a8cdeb4ecf3.gifecmwf-ensemble-c00-se-total_snow_10to1-0385600.png
Interesting the similarities between this EPS run and the December 2018 Storm pattern modeled
http://southernwx.com/community/threads/january-2020-operation-thaw-alaska.663/page-106 (Ollie Williams 3,161)
 
12z GFS 1/24 3 storm systems this run
(1/4) Clipper
gfs-deterministic-se-instant_ptype-1579867200-1580601600-1580688000-40.gifgfs-deterministic-se-snow_24hr-0688000.png
(2/4) Southern Slider
gfs-deterministic-se-instant_ptype-1579867200-1580882400-1580947200-40.gifgfs-deterministic-se-snow_24hr-0925600.png
(3/4) Nice I-85 stormgfs-deterministic-se-instant_ptype-1579867200-1581055200-1581163200-40.gifgfs-deterministic-se-snow_48hr-1184800.png
(4/4) Backend energy
gfs-deterministic-se-instant_ptype-1579867200-1581184800-1581249600-40.gifgfs-deterministic-se-snow_24hr-1249600.png
End of Run
gfs-deterministic-se-total_snow_10to1-1249600.png
 
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