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Wintry Winter 2019-20 Discussion
- Thread starter Snowfan
- Start date
Cadi40
Member
2014 was the first winter I was present for in Charlotte and I remember that storm quite well. It was awesome. Coming from Florida we wondered if we moved too far north!! I was not here for the 2004 event but hear wicked things about it, here’s to hoping we see another 2004 storm to close out the decade!!
gefs continues with more warming vs prior runs, @Webberweather53 you think the gefs is maybe rushing that warming event a bit to quick ? 
Parts of (NW)Raleigh have seen nice storms the past few years. It really matters where you're located in Wake County (dreaded Wake County split). I had a foot last December, nearly 10" the year before that, and a nice sleet event in 2017.
I like how some larger scale drivers are lining up. Hopefully the Aleutian low keeps showing up and the blocking around Greenland looks promising. I can't buy a below average winter temp wise overall because I just don't think that's possible anymore. But I feel the climo favored areas along and north of 85 will get 2 or 3 legit storms this year. Not sure about I20 from Atlanta to CAE but we can hope. And maybe even Dallas can score for Brent.
man this one had a brutal cut off in the Midlands. Richland county sat in a sleet rain mix with a 20 min changeover to snow, while 1 county to the North got 4-8 inches of snow. Even in 6th grade, I remember being so mad.
Wake County is such a borderline zone for snowfall. A few miles can make the difference between a big bust and a big dog. It is not uncommon for the northwestern part of the county to get a foot while the southeastern corner gets nothing. The part of NC north and west of Wake has been very lucky in recent years, while the opposite has been true for Southeastern Wake south and east. With a Niñoish atmospheric setup, this may be the case again this winter.
Avalanche
Member
After all these maps, must have been more active winters than I recall in the 2000's. Don't remember any of these and I was travelling for work going to Greensboro/HP/Winston Salem/Statesville/Charlotte/Chapel Hill. Maybe a few, but those maps make it seem more active than I can remember. I do recall a late season 2-3 incher here on March 25th or March 28th 2003 that wasn't posted.
As far as that lore of the Wake County divide, its that way in Chatham as well. Moncure gets nothing while a few miles north of Pittsboro gets the share. Triangle living for the win.
As far as that lore of the Wake County divide, its that way in Chatham as well. Moncure gets nothing while a few miles north of Pittsboro gets the share. Triangle living for the win.
Which one are we rooting for?
Rooting for GEFS...which is like rooting for the Pack. Who do I think will win...well the EPS is like Duke or the Patriots.
weatherfide
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The eps has cold anomalies in a donut around the northern hemisphere. I don’t recall ever seeing that before, so I’m rooting for team eps.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Dang, hard to believe Charlotte was really close to getting a foot out of that one in February 2014. The frontogenetical forcing on the front-end caught virtually all the models and forecasters off guard (somewhat analogous to Dec 2018 in RDU), was only supposed to get a trace to maybe an inch of snow in Fayetteville, ended up w/ 4-5" instead the day after another storm that was also only supposed to produce maybe an inch dropped 3-4". Lol.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Definitely looks that way. There's also a small yet non-negligible consideration here where increasing dispersion w/ range in the ensemble suite dampens the amplitude of the warm anomaly in earlier runs. Often times in my experience w/ this model, the GEFS is a bit overzealous w/ SSWEs in the longer-term
That January 22-23 storm is one of my favorites. Went to bed under a Winter Weather Advisory for 1-2 inches. Got woke up at 4am by loud thunder and already 5 inches in the ground. Ended up with 7 inches and temps in the teens all day.
That's horrible
The eps looks like we need that rubber band to snap, zonal zonal zonal.... at least no torch
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Remind me again when/how a SSWE has helped us out here in the SE? I'm serious actually...
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NoSnowATL
Member
ITS HAPPENING!
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NWMSGuy
Member
Man I would love to see 1963 come calling. Good year for Memphis/Midsouth region and lots of cold too for a lot of folks.
ITS HAPPENING!
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