These seasonal models tend to shift around quite a bit. I'm actually surprised it still has blue over the SE. There really isn't a lot of reason to expect wall to wall frigid temps during the winter, ever, really. What we are likely to end up with is one to two week periods of cold, followed by moderation, followed by cooling, etc., with a general tendency toward colder as winter matures. Given that this occurs concurrently with what looks to be the fairly likely scenario of an active STJ, at least normal snowfall seems very attainable. The good news is that there are no indications of a blowtorch winter. Colder and wetter than average seems to capture the greatest slice of the probability pie this year. That really is a good thing. If I were to just look at the extremes of either very cold or very warm and asked to circle the outcome that had the greater chance to verify this year, it would, without a doubt, be the colder scenario. I am happy about how things are progressing.
Models have it colder her than Calgary, Alberta at 216. Consider that a win until the GFS flips to red anomolies at 06z...
