• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Tropical TS OPHELIA ?

It is trying to build a center but its probably running out of time and conditions are just not good enough to really support it....to much dry air etc.

Wilmington radar presentation continues to improve though probably some legit 70-80 mph gust in those bands on the center....
 
As we went through a dry period with no rain our winds picked up. Went for a "jeb" walk around the block. As soon as the drizzle and light rain restarted the winds backed off a bit
 

Attachments

  • Screenshot_20230923_002727_Chrome.jpg
    Screenshot_20230923_002727_Chrome.jpg
    308 KB · Views: 7
I believe this image updates.

OPHELIA_AF302_0216A_full.png
 
MHX just changed the language of the TS warning here....I dunno where they getting this from lol....this is a big jump from earlier which topped us out at 40 mph...

Pitt-
1055 PM EDT Fri Sep 22 2023

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

* LOCATIONS AFFECTED
- Greenville
- Farmville
- Grifton

* WIND
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Equivalent Strong Tropical Storm force
wind
- Peak Wind Forecast: 45-60 mph with gusts to 75 mph
- Window for Tropical Storm force winds: until early Saturday
afternoon

The point in click seems more reasonable on the high end....

Saturday
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. High near 70. Very windy, with a northeast wind 30 to 40 mph becoming east 11 to 21 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 55 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between three quarters and one inch possible.
 
Downeastnc said:
MHX just changed the language of the TS warning here....I dunno where they getting this from lol....this is a big jump from earlier which topped us out at 40 mph...

Pitt-
1055 PM EDT Fri Sep 22 2023

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

* LOCATIONS AFFECTED
- Greenville
- Farmville
- Grifton

* WIND
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Equivalent Strong Tropical Storm force
wind
- Peak Wind Forecast: 45-60 mph with gusts to 75 mph
- Window for Tropical Storm force winds: until early Saturday
afternoon

The point in click seems more reasonable on the high end....

Saturday
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. High near 70. Very windy, with a northeast wind 30 to 40 mph becoming east 11 to 21 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 55 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between three quarters and one inch possible.
Click to expand...
WOW
 
2:00 AM EDT Sat Sep 23
Location: 33.8°N 77.1°W
Moving: NNW at 12 mph
Min pressure: 984 mb
Max sustained: 70 mph


Stronger winds in the east.

recon_AF302-0216A-OPHELIA.png
 
Recon is finding weird flight level winds, seems very low which is odd as some of the buoys have higher surface winds than what the flight level show fir those areas.....
 
072930 3403N 07656W 6963 02970 9807 +129 +008 187035 037 /// /// 03

Minimum Extrapolated Pressure 980.7
Minimum Estimated Dropsonde Pressure: 980.5mb at 06:19z
 
max surface wind is often estimated to be 90% of observed maximum flight-level wind. vary from storm to storm, and can range from ~70% to >100%.
Click to expand...

64-83 kts at flight level to 66-86 mph at surface at 90%.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top