Yeah but where will the center be? Couple areas of interest if it's the area near Key West that'll make a difference versus it being over the far western tip of Cuba
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Tropical TS Fred
- Thread starter GaWx
- Start date
Brent
Member
Models shifted back east a little right around the Alabama Florida border 
It's just such a big gyre. I think the are circled has a chance to take over but there seems to be at least a weak broad center to the west
I think I said about 3-4 days ago, this would track more West and not up the Florida W coast! And now both big models give Shetley 3-5” of rain! I’m glad he finally will get a tropical system to end his 7 year drought!
Enough with these over-hyped rain storms. Where's the snow?
GFS is stronger and further east this run.
accu35
Member
- Joined
- Jan 5, 2017
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it's almost identical at LF as the 18z. Maybe a few miles difference
actually its a bit east....into central AL....Def. East of NHC track for sure.
00z HWRF
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
NHC cone shifted east, at least post landfall
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
06Z run is even further East.
HugeSnowStick
Member
WOW, THAT looks quite impressive.
Jessy89
Member
First let me say I’m very happy and appreciative to be back. Now with that said I have a few things to say about Fred. I’m quite concerned about the amount of rain that may fall in parts of NE Georgia upstate Sc and western NC. The combination of Fred and that front that’s basically parked itself and how the southern Appalachians have away of ringing out moisture from storms. The CMC been very aggressive showing 6 plus inches of rain. We may see a pretty significant flooding event if this much rain falls along with few mudslides in the mountains. Fred maybe a fairly sloppy weak storm but the rain this coming in the days ahead Monday-Wednesday could really be a top weather story to pay attention to.
I think "Fred" might be alive here shortly
Yeah I wish the TBW radar wasn't down. Looks like we may be starting to pinch off a real sfc low again
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Yeah Fred looks pretty decent as compared to the last 24 hours now, lost of convection on the east side of the storm but I don't expect too much out of him until landfall