bigstick10
Member
From FFC, KATL:
The long term forecast period picks up with the approach of
Tropical Depression Fred with the outer rain bands likely moving
in on Sunday. Model guidance is now much more consistent with
developing a mid-level trough across the Ozarks at the start of
the long term which will help direct the tropical system when it
comes ashore. Even still, discrepancies continue after landfall
between model runs with placing the storm anywhere between western
Alabama to far eastern Georgia. The official forecast track from
the NHC places the center of the storms roughly with the ECMWF
just west of the GA/FL boarder, slightly further west than
previous tracks and placing our forecast area on the dirty side of
the storm where heavy rainfall is expected across Monday and
Tuesday with a SW to NE swath of 2 to 4 inches possible with
locally higher amounts will be possible over a 60 hour period.
The long term forecast period picks up with the approach of
Tropical Depression Fred with the outer rain bands likely moving
in on Sunday. Model guidance is now much more consistent with
developing a mid-level trough across the Ozarks at the start of
the long term which will help direct the tropical system when it
comes ashore. Even still, discrepancies continue after landfall
between model runs with placing the storm anywhere between western
Alabama to far eastern Georgia. The official forecast track from
the NHC places the center of the storms roughly with the ECMWF
just west of the GA/FL boarder, slightly further west than
previous tracks and placing our forecast area on the dirty side of
the storm where heavy rainfall is expected across Monday and
Tuesday with a SW to NE swath of 2 to 4 inches possible with
locally higher amounts will be possible over a 60 hour period.
