Hurricane Debby

[Brent]

It's come a long way from like Wednesday when I couldn't find it on satellite

 

[FortMillSCWx]

WPC ....

 

[HugeSnowStick]

Does anyone remember Alberto? Stalled

Tropical Storm Alberto (1994) - Wikipedia

en.wikipedia.org

 

[snowc]

11am update shows it as a DEPRESSION in Erwin

 

[Shaggy]

Icon goes around cape fear and landfall over lookout

 

[Belle Lechat]

...DEBBY LIKELY TO STRENGTHEN RAPIDLY BEFORE LANDFALL IN THE FLORIDA BIG BEND REGION... ...MAJOR FLOOD THREAT LOOMS OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES...

11:00 AM EDT Sun Aug 4 Location: 27.0°N 84.3°W Moving: NNW at 13 mph Min pressure: 992 mb Max sustained: 65 mph

 

[Downeastnc]

Icon goes around cape fear and landfall over lookout

Honestly its more likely to miss to the east than end up inland SC or GA, though the ICON has it almost to Cat 4 lol.....

RIP Emerald Isle

 

[NCSNOW]

Icon goes around cape fear and landfall over lookout

Kid lives right at Lockwood Folly. Let me know if you come across any tide gauge, flood etc web sites, to keep tabs on things. Im looking now, sure they are out there and I think you are in Brunswick County, when you moved, correct? Thanks in Advance!

 

[FortMillSCWx]

It's all about the stalled front...which is what really causes the piedmont of the carolinas problems. Track vs impact. BP on it video

 

[MotoWeatherman]

Does anyone remember Alberto? Stalled

Tropical Storm Alberto (1994) - Wikipedia

en.wikipedia.org

View attachment 149351

Yep...lived in the south Atlanta burbs at the time just south of the Airport in Jonesboro. Picked up over 13 inches of rain in 24hrs.

 

[Shaggy]

Kid lives right at Lockwood Folly. Let me know if you come across any tide gauge, flood etc web sites, to keep tabs on things. Im looking now, sure they are out there and I think you are in Brunswick County, when you moved, correct? Thanks in Advance!

Yeah I'm 1 mile or so west of the brunswick river in leland.

 

[Ron Burgundy]

Yep...lived in the south Atlanta burbs at the time just south of the Airport in Jonesboro. Picked up over 13 inches of rain in 24hrs.

We were in the Buckhead area in town and only got a couple inches. I shudder to think what a stall like that would do in ATL

 

[Belle Lechat]

 

[Downeastnc]

View attachment 149356

well then....this tracks with its rapidly improving radar presentation though.....

 

[Loganville Winter]

Yep...lived in the south Atlanta burbs at the time just south of the Airport in Jonesboro. Picked up over 13 inches of rain in 24hrs.

Same here. Ran a business in Jonesboro off Tara BLVD. Knocked out power as well. Lots trees down.


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[Downeastnc]

Well GFS still sticking to its guns, though the CMC caved and is now pretty much the same as the ICON/Euro/UK...

 

[GaWx]

12Z CMC change from the crazy and now does the normal up NE along the SE coast as still does JMA. However, 12Z GFS still comes back into GA.

 

[Downeastnc]

12Z CMC change from the crazy and now does the normal up NE along the SE coast as still does JMA. However, 12Z GFS still comes back into GA.

Yeah 12Z CMC way different



00Z same time

 

[FallsLake]

The Candian would be the worst case situation for RDU eastward.

At day 5:

 

[weatherfide]

Ah, I think I see why the GFS is bringing Debby back in to GA. If you look at the projected 500 mb vorticity maps, the GFS weakens and fills the circulation rapidly, causing it to respond to the low level wind fields. If you compare it to the ICON output, you can see where it remains tightly wound up and strong, getting influenced by upper level steering currents. The question becomes how quickly Debby weakens over land and how strong she gets while over water.