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Hurricane Debby

weather bubba said:
I was looking at the model runs and the ICON has Debby as a 964mb hurricane off of Myrtle Beach before making landfall again. That would be a Cat 3 hurricane if that were to verify. Let's hope its out in left field with its estimate of storm strength.
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Well, we know how these have blown up quickly the past few years.
 
weather bubba said:
I was looking at the model runs and the ICON has Debby as a 964mb hurricane off of Myrtle Beach before making landfall again. That would be a Cat 3 hurricane if that were to verify. Let's hope it’s out in left field with its estimate of storm strength.
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I mentioned earlier that while 964mb seems extreme, I think 980-985mb is very possible depending on how much time it has over water and how well it’s still structured when emerging into water. That would likely be a high end cat 1, and with it hitting while still strengthening and at a right angle to the coast, it would still bring in a significant storm surge to the north of the center, depending on low or high tide. I was at Oak Island during Isaias in 2020 and saw that first hand.
 
Wobbled east again. The eastern part of the circulation is now entering the Atlantic. At this rate it could just form a new center and throw all the models off with Atlantic development.IMG_3334.jpeg
 
It does not take much imagination to figure out how bad that ICON scenario would be with widespread flooding already occurring.

Anyway, not seeing as much rotation with storms out in the Atlantic as I expected. Hopefully that trend continues.
 
ChrisAMB said:
It does not take much imagination to figure out how bad that ICON scenario would be with widespread flooding already occurring.

Anyway, not seeing as much rotation with storms out in the Atlantic as I expected. Hopefully that trend continues.
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3km NAM certainly advertising the potential for some rotating cells. No doubt will be a threat.
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Off topic...somewhat....are we rolling the OBS into this thread?
 
ChrisAMB said:
It does not take much imagination to figure out how bad that ICON scenario would be with widespread flooding already occurring.

Anyway, not seeing as much rotation with storms out in the Atlantic as I expected. Hopefully that trend continues.
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Rotating cells increase when tropical systems slow and stall. Should increase overnight given her speed now.
 
def increase in storm strength with the band over the Atlantic. This will rotate around Debby (not just move due north into NC). Plenty of danger overnight Savannah to Charlestown. Waking up tomorrow will be sad I’m afraid.
 

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Oh boy the Euro brings wind and a lot of rain all the way over to highway 221 in NC and SC. I know the wind map is wrong, but if that track is right, we get gusts up to around 40 mph here and around 5 inches of rain.
 
Where are yall seeing 18z Euro maps? They're not out on TT yet and I don't see them on weathermodels
 
iGRXY said:
View attachment 149528
Looks like a cluster near Charleston and now south of Myrtle Beach near Georgetown. NHC track is east (specifically inland) of 85% of these runs so we will see if they start shifting the track further west.
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They might now, after that 18z Euro run. One more shift west like that would really change things for both of us if it was right of course.
 
What do people do down here for frog,snake,gator seeking higher grounds? This **** is so loud. Having to wear ear plugs INSIDE. Trying to relocate them but hatching everywhere
 
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