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Tropical TS Beta

oh after what happened with Laura and Sally definitely watching the Gulf
This is crazy....I really thought it would be the year for the east coast....of course, it's not over, but this is looking more and more like 2005 gulf event.
 
With the cool weather we suppose to have coming up, can this disturbance keep formation further east in the gulf?
 
Still a bunch of squiggly lines....would be worth the watch to see it make some of these moves....

90L_tracks_latest (1).png

90L_gefs_latest (1).png
 
Wilfred is that you?

Thunderstorm activity associated with a low pressure system located
over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico has increased in coverage and
organization this morning. In addition, recent satellite-derived
surface wind data indicate that the low has become better defined.
Upper-level winds are expected to gradually become more conducive
for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form during
the next day or so while the low meanders over the southwestern Gulf
of Mexico. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled
to investigate the disturbance later today, if necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
 
Euro looking sort of like the icon a very slow mover along the Texas coast ecmwf_z500_mslp_us_7.png

Ejects northeast towards Louisiana it appears beyond a couple days stall near South Texas

ecmwf_z500_mslp_watl_8.png

Headed for New Orleans

ecmwf_z500_mslp_us_9.png
 
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