accu35
Member
We may be looking at another if not a hurricane but a ST on the eastern GOM again if the eastward motion happens and speeds up.
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Tropical TS Beta
- Thread starter Henry2326
- Start date
Brent
Member
Brent
Member
The ukmet is a disaster a major hurricane moving NNE off Texas at the end of the run 959 mb
accu35
Member
Can you post the run
Brent
Member
I don't have a track but this is the end of the run
The cmc meanwhile is headed for the Yucatan Peninsula lol
Brent
Member
The Euro is now sticking closer to Texas like the GFS lol clearly no model agreement beyond day 4 or so
Oh and here's another view of the ukmet major hurricane it's starting to move east here
Oh and here's another view of the ukmet major hurricane it's starting to move east here
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Brent
Member
The EPS is still all over the place some even go south
Henry2326
Member
06z Icon backed way off intensity.....still same location at end of run.
06z GFS.....meh...
06z GFS.....meh...
Too cold for it to come here or it would be mixed bag precip
Henry2326
Member
06z
BufordWX
Member
With Wilfred having just formed in the East Atlantic it looks like TD22 will be the start of our journey through the Greek alphabet.
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BHS1975
Member
Why no X/Y/Z named storms?
Not many names begin with them. Same reason there is no Q name.
Brent
Member
GFS is a hurricane basically for the entire Texas coast into SW Louisiana
the ukmet is not as crazy this run at 982 mb, again looks to be headed towards a threat further east though
the ukmet is not as crazy this run at 982 mb, again looks to be headed towards a threat further east though
BufordWX
Member
Lol Alpha forming near Portugal now. This should be Beta then. My goodness.
Brent
Member
I give up lmao it's 22 until it's named 
ForsythSnow
Moderator
We thought this would be Wilfred, then Alpha. Watch some other low take Beta instead of this.
Brent
Member
Hurricane Quinton, has a nice ring to it!
But since the names recycle every 4 years you need atleast 2 male and female names more if they get retired...
Henry2326
Member
10 am this morning
Henry2326
Member
Henry2326
Member
12z UK is a bit ugly....it doesn't seem to move much....
Brent
Member
Beta coming at 5 I believe
AL, 22, 2020091818, , BEST, 0, 239N, 933W, 35, 1005, TS
Wild day 3 named storms lol
The Euro appears to be a somewhat weaker version of the GFS Ukmet with a track along the Texas coast
AL, 22, 2020091818, , BEST, 0, 239N, 933W, 35, 1005, TS
Wild day 3 named storms lol
The Euro appears to be a somewhat weaker version of the GFS Ukmet with a track along the Texas coast
Brent
Member
weatherboyy
Member
Beta is now
Wait, where are you getting your info? The 4 pm update isn't out yet.
Brent
Member
INTERESTS ALONG THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF BETA. STORM SURGE AND TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE
WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN GULF
COAST TONIGHT OR ON SATURDAY.
PROGRESS OF BETA. STORM SURGE AND TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE
WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN GULF
COAST TONIGHT OR ON SATURDAY.
Brent
Member
Recon supporting 50 mph already maybe even 60
lexxnchloe
Member
Maybe they should wait on watches or warnings.
BHS1975
Member
3k NAM went beast mode.
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Henry2326
Member
If Hwrf and hmon come along with in the next 24 hours then we've got a serious problem......if not, meh.
Brent
Member
Center appears to be further NE too
Have to see how that plays
Have to see how that plays
lexxnchloe
Member
Brent
Member
60 mph on best track
Might be Hurricane Beta sooner than we thought(would you expect anything less in 2020 lol)
Might be Hurricane Beta sooner than we thought(would you expect anything less in 2020 lol)
With the SW shear I would expect some center reforms NE at times.
NEW READING OF 996MB AND DUE NORTH
Brent
Member
...AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTERS FIND BETA STRONGER...
...STORM SURGE AND HURRICANE WATCHES ISSUED FOR A PORTION OF THE
TEXAS COAST...
SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.5N 92.3W
ABOUT 305 MI...495 KM E OF MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE
ABOUT 315 MI...510 KM SW OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.42 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
A Storm Surge Watch has been issued from Port Mansfield, TX to High
Island, TX including Baffin Bay, Corpus Christi Bay, Copano Bay,
Aransas Bay, San Antonio Bay, Matagorda Bay, and Galveston Bay.
A Hurricane Watch has been issued from Port Aransas, TX to High
Island, TX.
A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued from south of Port Aransas
to the Mouth of the Rio Grande and east of High Island to Morgan
City LA.
...STORM SURGE AND HURRICANE WATCHES ISSUED FOR A PORTION OF THE
TEXAS COAST...
SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.5N 92.3W
ABOUT 305 MI...495 KM E OF MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE
ABOUT 315 MI...510 KM SW OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.42 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
A Storm Surge Watch has been issued from Port Mansfield, TX to High
Island, TX including Baffin Bay, Corpus Christi Bay, Copano Bay,
Aransas Bay, San Antonio Bay, Matagorda Bay, and Galveston Bay.
A Hurricane Watch has been issued from Port Aransas, TX to High
Island, TX.
A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued from south of Port Aransas
to the Mouth of the Rio Grande and east of High Island to Morgan
City LA.
CentralALWX
Member
Per Latest Discussion from NHC...