Tropical Tropical Storm Barry

[Snowflowxxl]

Euro is going to make a jump east this run

 

[Brent]

Euro looks like the ICON? Central Louisiana?

 

[Snowflowxxl]

Euro/Icon been on the same page for days. I'm going to ride them to the finish line I do believe

 

[accu35]

I say good shift east

 

[accu35]

 

[Rick]

Cool well something must be snatching it up north prob because its weak so good news

 

[accu35]

That Euro run had the storm over water 4 days, Wow

 

[Rick]

That Euro run had the storm over water 4 days, Wow

And still so weak hmm must be strong shear expected

 

[PEA_RIDGE]

GFS LEGACY WAY EAST

 

[Ethan80963]

This reminds me of a winter storm the models are west and slowly coming east as we near verification. But as of 6z most models seem to be coming in farther east we will need to see if this keeps going and if so how far east models are willing to take it. This could go from being a Texas and Louisiana system to a Louisiana and Mississippi system.

 

[Storm5]

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[Zander98al]

Are you sure you want the 16 inches of rain the Canadian is giving Central AL? If it’s right, (Which is doubtful) your going to need a boat if you get that much rain!View attachment 20917

Thats a ridiculous amount of rain ??

 

[ForsythSnow]

The Euro ENS seem to be showing 3 main paths between the members. 1 being Texas, the other being LA, and the last being AL going into GA. It definitely is headed more east it seems per the newer runs.

 

[snowlover91]

Here's my two cents on this. The GFS (Fv3 version) last year showed a good amount of skill in depicting the intensity of systems, especially in environments where shear was a concern. The fact that this whole time it has had an extremely sloppy, messy system that stays close to land and struggles to develop is very telling IMO. I'm leaning towards the idea of just a broad low pressure that never tightens up and brings a lot of showers and storms to the Gulf Coast vs a further south and tightly wrapped storm that bombs out like the Euro/ICON are showing.

 

[Brick Tamland]

This reminds me of a winter storm the models are west and slowly coming east as we near verification. But as of 6z most models seem to be coming in farther east we will need to see if this keeps going and if so how far east models are willing to take it. This could go from being a Texas and Louisiana system to a Louisiana and Mississippi system.

I think the models did the same thing last year with tropical systems, too.

 

[deltadog03]

More than likely this is a sloppy system as usual in these types of setups. Wind will be around but as we all know the rain will be the biggest threat. Track, not sure.... I see the path west toward Texas, but also a nice trof over the lakes and OH valley that could tug this toward MS as well.

 

[accu35]

I'll go with the Legacy this morning lol

 

[Snowflowxxl]

I’m going with my prediction from two days ago:

Strongish TS near Biloxi

 

[BirdManDoomW]

Going to be right side dominant and place some on the board with rain. West side into Texas will feature sinking dry air. Too early to tell if places like Georgia/Tennessee come into play down the road.

 

[accu35]

With these water temps and low shear, and 4 to 5 days creeping in gulf can really cause big trouble.