Brent
Member
Well this might cool it off for a half a day
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Tropical Tropical Storm Barry
- Thread starter accu35
- Start date
Euro brings it down to 982 and wind gusts approaching 100mph
What’s interesting is that the euro spits out some anticyclonic movement over the cyclone, which helps out structure, and ventilation
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Brick Tamland
Guest
Isn't that quite a bit more intense than earlier runs?
Brent
Member
Euro satellite simulation at landfall
Don’t look at the deep thunder, lol
pcbjr
Member
Nice excerpt from the local paper this AM, actually providing some explanation for folks ...
Hurricane center forecasters said the mechanics of the would-be Barry are a little unusual, with a trough of low pressure over the U.S. moving south toward the Gulf of Mexico where a broad low pressure area will likely form in a few days.
Typically, systems drift from the Gulf of Mexico toward land. This one could happen in reverse, forming from a so-called mesocscale convective vortex, or MCV. An MCV is a grouping of thunderstorm clusters over land, that can become tropical when they hit water.
Marshall Shepherd, a University of Georgia atmospheric sciences professor, said in a post he wrote for Forbes that computer models are showing the possibility that a couple of old frontal boundaries may meet in the Gulf of Mexico to generate enough energy for something tropical to form.
Hurricane center forecasters said the mechanics of the would-be Barry are a little unusual, with a trough of low pressure over the U.S. moving south toward the Gulf of Mexico where a broad low pressure area will likely form in a few days.
Typically, systems drift from the Gulf of Mexico toward land. This one could happen in reverse, forming from a so-called mesocscale convective vortex, or MCV. An MCV is a grouping of thunderstorm clusters over land, that can become tropical when they hit water.
Marshall Shepherd, a University of Georgia atmospheric sciences professor, said in a post he wrote for Forbes that computer models are showing the possibility that a couple of old frontal boundaries may meet in the Gulf of Mexico to generate enough energy for something tropical to form.
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Zander98al
Guest
Its hard to forecast where itll go and intensity until it actually gets over the ocean. So the tracks may change. Unlike most tropical storms which are already over the water. But barry is a unique one lol
How many of you were on the Texas bandwagon yesterday because I wasn’t? It’s not been 24 hours and you think a undeveloped storm will automatically hit Texas based on a days run. Mississippi is still at play and others which could ultimately bring rains for some on here.
It’s going to hit Texas, skip over Wilkes, slam mid Atlantic! Take that to the bird feeder!
Some of them were on it at least 5 days ago. They got too much algae bloom going off along the MS coast for a landfall. Sinking albedo promotes heat shielding that pumps the ridge and shunts the storm left. Probably going into southern TX and rain out over Mexico, amigo.
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Read these words:
Nobody in the Carolinas is getting rain from this directly after it hits the Gulf. Said it here and now. See this in 5 days. It'll be right.
CMC turns into an Apps runner after flooding New Orleans.
JMA is also in the camp of placing a lot on the board with rain.
Brent
Member
EPS much more clustered on TX/LA
EUro vs CMC.... riveting! ?
Bold prediction by South-East Weather Center. Louisiana to Florida hit. What degree do they have?
I’m going with a JMA, Icon, Brazilian, CMC, NAM, and HRRR, RAP blend!
Brent
Member
GFS still not impressed
Literally an outlier atm
Literally an outlier atm