Tropical Tropical Storm Barry

[Snowflowxxl]

Congrats, Houston

 

[BirdManDoomW]

For a storm that hasn’t formed, all interests should monitor including inland Carolinas.things change.

 

[Zander98al]

Houston always seems to get flooding issues from any tropical system unfortunately. If it goes there

 

[Tarheel1]

For a storm that hasn’t formed, all interests should monitor including inland Carolinas.things change.

Nope! Your dead wrong! I told you 5 days ago, all the moisture would be nowhere near the Carolinas! Today’s models do exactly that!!

 

[RainlessSnowless & Grumpy]

Nope! Your dead wrong! I told you 5 days ago, all the moisture would be nowhere near the Carolinas! Today’s models do exactly that!!

You are probably right about moisture. We will have impacts though. It'll come in the form of high dewpoints and oppressive heat indexes.

 

[Snowfan]

ICON is 1 mb stronger and is a bit west than the last run through 90 hours.

 

[Snowfan]

ICON has it making landfall at the Texas/Louisana border as a Cat 1 hurricane @ 114 hours.

 

[Snowfan]

GFS is a little stronger and is a bit north of last run through 96 hours.

 

[Snowfan]

UKMET is stronger and further west than last run.

 

[Tarheel1]

Trends are clear, TX/LA hit, sorry SE, who could use a little rain! ?

 

[Zander98al]

S

Trends are clear, TX/LA hit, sorry SE, who could use a little rain! ?

Still could change a lot lol. Im kindve thinking a landfall will be in LA. But also this system hasnt even made it over water yet.

 

[snowlover91]

UKMET is stronger and further west than last run.

Yep gets it down to 974mb which would be a high end cat one, borderline cat 2.

 

[Brick Tamland]

Not sure I have ever seen a tropical system come from a disturbance on land.

 

[Brent]

Not sure I have ever seen a tropical system come from a disturbance on land.

Its happened before Danny 1997 and Alicia 1983 are two big examples that became hurricanes

Also Arthur 2014

 

[Brent]

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Mon Jul 8 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A trough of low pressure located over central Georgia is forecast
to move southward toward the northeastern Gulf of Mexico, where a
broad area of low pressure is expected to form on Wednesday.
Environmental and ocean conditions are forecast to be conducive for
development and a tropical depression is likely to form by the end
of the week while the low moves slowly westward over northern Gulf
of Mexico. Regardless of development, this system has the potential
to produce heavy rainfall along portions of the northern and eastern
U.S. Gulf Coast later this week. For more information about the
rainfall threat, please see products issued by your local weather
forecast office and the NOAA Weather Prediction Center. Interests
along the Gulf Coast from the Upper Texas coast to the western
Florida peninsula should monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

 

[Zander98al]

12z model runs of various weather models on where/if landfall will be. Didnt post euro becuase 12z isnt out yet. Nam isn't impressive with it. But has landfall of the system near LA/MS

 

[Snowflowxxl]

Euro looks like its going to be a weak Hurricane heading for the louisianna/texas border

 

[Brent]

Euro looks like its going to be a weak Hurricane heading for the louisianna/texas border

 

[Snowflowxxl]

Very close to the 0z run IMO. Just a bit stronger this time.

 

[Tarheel1]

Maybe the front can shunt the moisture for “ Barry” NE, and give us much needed rain!?