Print that rain money
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The June Thread 2021
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
It makes you wonder if this is just simply the overall primary set up for us to expect this summer. I’m not in anyway saying we avoid our normal heat and humidity, but certainly it seems like it would be hard to experience long stretches of 95+ degree heat with little storm chances. Also it would make sense now that Niña has broken down and we go further into a neutral ENSO.
LovingGulfLows
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The west just gets pounded with constant death ridges forming on top of them. A painful drought gets even more painful for them. It'll likely be an average summer temperature wise for the Southeast.
It may not happen this warm season, but eventually, that heat from the drought stricken region in the SW will be released eastward via. a positive feedback loop (similar to the 2010 - 2012 period).
Best prepare yourselves.
The thing about that period is that we entering into a very strong 2 year LaNina in which the second year is already generally very mild in the East. Now we appear to heading to a fairly extended neutral ENSO. This should get the STJ very active as we get later into the fall and give the west some serious drought relief and a strong STJ during the fall and winter also helps to mute the SER.
cd2play
Member
2016 and 2017 had that happen somewhat. Summer 2016 was brutal.
Itll happen before summer ends and we will have a 3-5 day period of near 100
LickWx
Member
cd2play
Member
I still think the majority of July and the first part of August are hot
I'll check back in 10 days
@NickyBGuarantee I see you gave my post a huh. Watch how the higher 850s get squeezed out in front of the next trough on the Euro. Eventually these aren't going to dig as much and more heat will be directed into the region ahead of a trough moving from the lakes into the NE and we will get some of that stuff
LickWx
Member
I see what you’re saying here .. I just don’t think there’s going to be enough juice to get us a 3-5 days period of triple digits! That stuff is hard to do at any given year.. models have shown to be too hot with heat in the past too so I just don’t see a period of 100+ heat in the near future .. especially with ridging dominating out west and we get a constant barrage of troughs and thunderstorms to help us stay cooler than most …. Let’s see how it goes though
Shaggy
Member
Horrible out today super hot and muggy already. Its 86 with a HI of 93 at 11:15 advisory.
I'd have to check with @Lickwx but I believe one of the heat waves in the last decade was a SW heat release
LickWx
Member
Heat wave of July 20- august 14 1999 is a perfect example of that.
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July 20 to August 14, 1999
Blistering heat developed across the Carolinas during this final heat wave of the 20th century. During this event, the upper level ridge developed across the lower Mississippi Valley and retreated for a time into the Southwestern United States, a position farther west than is typically observed during our worst heat waves. The airmass was still exceptionally hot, and with westerly downsloping winds over the Appalachians, temperatures reached 108 in Hartsville and Cades, SC. The 105 degree temperatures that developed in Charleston, SC on August 1st broke the all-time record for heat in that coastal city. Temperatures also reached 105 in Orangeburg and Newberry, SC. In Kingstree, SC temperatures reached or exceeded 100 degrees for 10 consecutive days from July 24th through August 2nd.
In addition to very hot daytime highs, overnight lows were exceedingly warm during this heat wave; Sullivans Island, SC recorded a daily low temperature of 84 degrees on August 1st! Wilmington, NC's high and low temperatures of 103 and 83 degrees on August 1st average out to 93 degrees -- the warmest average daily temperature in the Port City's history. Charleston, SC also had its hottest average temperature in history on August 1st, 93 degrees, after a high and low measured at the airport of 105 and 81, respectively. The downtown weather station at the harbor in Charleston had a morning low of 86 degrees that same day, the warmest ever recorded there.
The Mt. Mitchell, NC weather station, at 6,240 feet elevation, reached 81 degrees on August 1st and established a new all-time high temperature for that location.
This heat wave also affected the Mid-Atlantic and Northeastern United States. Temperatures exceeded 100 degrees from Richmond, VA through Baltimore and into Newark, NJ.
@SD this map looks exactly like the one you posted from the models where you suggested more heat release!
