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Pattern The Great December Dump

Chazwin said:
If my memory is correct the JMA stayed consistent with the January 2016 storm. Other model shifted N/W a few days out and then actually shifted back southeast right up until the event. I remember ending further south than was forecast because I was supposed to get a little front end ice then mostly rain, but ended up with a quick 1/2 inch of snow then about an inch of sleet/freezing rain
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Awsome
 
I think what the 18z GFS just did. Is say it’s not over yet potential is still there. If that high would just hang one a little longer or that system speeds up a bit it could still be a winter storm


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At this juncture, all I see happening is some ZR at best. But who cares a flying fig about that stuff unless it's heavy. Though who knows, prove me wrong.
 
How was the GEFS I saw the snowfall mean that look better but haven’t seen the set up. Was the setup any better?
 
accu35 said:
First system, members are better for north Al/TN area. Second storm, gefs members are a bit more bullish on the ice
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The Ice for who. Seems like we have to get the timing right to know. The what and the where. But I’m assuming it’s cad areas


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Does anyone have the 18z euro and eps wondering if they will continue to trend worse or if it’s happy hour with the euro suite too
 
I'm intrigued
1f2eea32d1b10808fc32927e9ddc80a5.jpg


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For the one's that care, the continuation of my predictions/model posts will be in the Whamby thread temporary until a group thinking thread is created (exact thread idea's are still in the thought process.) I have given an idea for a thread, and once that thread is made, that's where my predictions/model images will be posted. I just thought I'd let the one's know that do care.

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WxWatch said:
For the one's that care, the continuation of my predictions/model posts will be in the Whamby thread temporary until a group thinking thread is created (exact thread idea's is still in the thought process.) I have given an idea for a thread, and once that thread is made, that's where my predictions/model images will be posted. I just thought I'd let the one's know that do care.

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Thank you for all the time and effort you put into your predictions !
 
Storm5 said:
We only get 3 months to get worked up . Yes it’s a little early being early December but by God I’m using all my 12 weeks !!


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You have 1 month more than I, but still, do not get worked up ... it'll happen and when it does, you and I are gonna need a plumber ... :eek:
 
Yeah to add to that ice threat, this is not a bad look, If you want more icing here in the Carolinas, want tha high to stay longer and you don’t want no phasing, any trend to a stronger high and a storm more towards the coast/no cutter/ no apps runner could offer significant icing3E4D1081-82A7-411D-A37D-1E4A09858D88.jpeg4F775FA0-1572-454A-82AE-A219AEF83534.jpeg6B2E7A41-A3B0-45DC-A7A5-84CF56CB1C69.jpeg
 
It all comes down to the timing of that high pressure and the moisture. Could see a little ice a lot Of ice or no ice. I was never really eyeballing this one as a snow threat. ZR/Sleet to rain is a possibility


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Arcc said:
Kylo mentioned it days ago and until he did I never paid attention to it this year. The amount of continual ridging in Asia is really something this year.
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Arcc, what is interesting or intriguing with this image? What excites yall? Just curious
 
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