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Pattern The Great December Dump
- Thread starter Rain Cold
- Start date
Late next week may be a biggie. Aluetian low sliding west and western ridge sliding west as well, trending colder in East.
Big phaser incoming on the Euro. It may not be the south but someone will have some fun.
Storm5
Member
massive rain producer on the 12z euro late next week. That's a huge system
Not bad for severe weather this run 
Storm5
Member
rain all the way to Chicago and Detroit lol
Storm5
Member
Snow in Chicago next Saturday I’m all in since I’ll be there
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Lmao 850 winds coming out of the SE with this phaser with winds coming out of the SW/S at 500mb, classic setup for Severe weather in NC with temps/dews in the 60s, actually how you get tornadoes in NC/SC, lmaoo
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Yeah this Euro run is screaming tornado outbreak in the long range over GA & the Carolinas.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
This Euro run was very close to going super nuclear w/ this storm at day 8. If all 3 of these shortwaves phase at the right time & given how negatively tilted this trough is.... Umm yea. #superstorm
Even if there's no wintry weather w/ this, a storm like this would definitely be entertaining to watch unfold.
Even if there's no wintry weather w/ this, a storm like this would definitely be entertaining to watch unfold.
Hell if that ridge was a bit further north it could turn into a massive bowling ball and slide SE
Avalanche
Member
Id be fine with a major storm like that if its 93 style with severe weather out in front and dropping temps and snow on the backend. Yeah I will gladly take that!! Best of both worlds!!
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Super midwest storm right? It looks like it would have phased around Missouri.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
The surface cyclone basically cuts right thru the heart of this board (AL/GA/TN)
What would we have needed on this run for it to be a crazy snowstorm?
More Cold Air availability. The moisture seems to be there but it needs more cold air faster. More often than not, I know this is cliche but , the cold air chases the moisture and not very often catches it other than a few backend flakes.
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I bet the EPS is disappointment with that shortwave next week
Jessy89
Member
I think January and February is gonna be our months for winter weather.
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COLD AIR?
That is the thing to watch. See how much the ridge in the west builds.
avlsnow
Member
We have some agreement between the gfs and euro for some backside snow in the mountains Wednesday morning. If anything it should be a novelty event.
Storm5
Member
The 12z eps has our late week system further east than the OP roaring up the east coast
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WxBlue
Meteorologist
Wouldn't mind tracking a tornado outbreak around here. Gives me a reason to go out and chase something.
You know what they say after lightning in the winter .... 10 days later
I’m in disagreement I don’t think January will be good for most. Don’t know about February yet.
Jessy89
Member
What leads you to believe January will be no good.
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Mostly same reasons the CPC is going with. Overall warmer and I believe the big rains in December will not continue all winter. I believe it’s gonna get dry around the Gulf of Mexico too.
I did a quick scroll and didn’t see not one new snow map.. Because of that, i’m 99% confident the intital threat is dead..next
GFS not giving up on that storm late next week. Might be minor or quick but something is still there.
GFS
Cuts through central GA, SC, and Eastern NC after this and therefore is too warm to maintain cold enough for frozen precip after this frame
Cuts through central GA, SC, and Eastern NC after this and therefore is too warm to maintain cold enough for frozen precip after this frame
If my memory is correct the JMA stayed consistent with the January 2016 storm. Other model shifted N/W a few days out and then actually shifted back southeast right up until the event. I remember ending further south than was forecast because I was supposed to get a little front end ice then mostly rain, but ended up with a quick 1/2 inch of snow then about an inch of sleet/freezing rain