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Pattern The Great December Dump

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This could trend colder. And better as we get closer. This one is worth watching for sure as the Canadian had it suppressed. A lot of changes will take place if we can keep it around the gulf coast I like the potential.


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Jessy89 said:
eb1823dc3e858e668eb54eb129954c11.jpg


This could trend colder. And better as we get closer. This one is worth watching for sure as the Canadian had it suppressed. A lot of changes will take place if we can keep it around the gulf coast I like the potential.


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50/50 low is not in the right place. If we get it to head into the right location, that would be a nice storm. Lots of time to trend better.
 
WxWatch said:
The timing of that 50/50 low and a S/W would need to be just right. If a deep 50/50 low comes into places first, a storm system would likely not form. Perhaps one would form after the 50/50 low kicks out, but then it would probably warm ahead of a S/W. A 50/50 can mean a significant east coast snow storm (SECS) but there's no guarantee. If an SECS occurs, bombogenesis can occur far south as the Mid-Atlanic. I have a feeling that time frame is right for something to possibly occur as well. I haven't seen enough consistency for my liking - consistency is your friend. The pattern does though look like something good could happen for that time though.

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A 50/50 low is always good for us in the SE. it doesn’t keep a storm from forming. It also acts like a -NAO to keep the storm track south.
 
packfan98 said:
A 50/50 low is always good for us in the SE. it doesn’t keep a storm from forming. It also acts like a -NAO to keep the storm track south.
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A 50/50 low can be good for us, but not always. It can shear out short waves in the southern stream (preventing a storm system to form) or even suppress system's too far south. Yes, a 50/50 low does enhance a -NAO.

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Ollie Williams said:
50/50 low is not in the right place. If we get it to head into the right location, that would be a nice storm. Lots of time to trend better.
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lol it’ll probably trend worse just based on how hard it is to get snow around here. Have heard this sentiment before. *Hopefully I jinxed it.* Would like to see what @Webberweather53 thinks about it.
 
17th still possible snowstorm?
 
This takes us thru about Dec 20th... Dare I say, there's a very small chance we end up below normal this Dec given many areas will only be 1-1.5C above with about 10 days to go in the month?

This analysis + 7 day forecast anomaly map certainly looks a lot better than it did a few days ago.
ANOM2m_fcstMTH_ntham (3).png
 
Webberweather53 said:
This takes us thru about Dec 20th... Dare I say, there's a very small chance we end up below normal this Dec given many areas will only be 1-1.5C above with about 10 days to go in the month?

This analysis + 7 day forecast anomaly map certainly looks a lot better than it did a few days ago.
View attachment 27904
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Two below average months back to back ... stop teasing us Webber! It can’t be true..... ?
 
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