Pattern Sweatember '22

[olhausen]

I wished we'd get a noticeably cooler change in temps but that is just a dream. Every year it stays hot on through October. CPC shows above average temperatures on through November. They show the same thing almost every year. Frost seems to be coming later each year also.

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To be fair the average high here is 82 or so on September 15th so it’s not like September is supposed to be a cool month. Usually get that first cooler front in late September and then one last heat wave going into the first week or so in October. I do remember October 2019 starting off as a scorcher though!

 

[Snowlover87]

To be fair the average high here is 82 or so on September 15th so it’s not like September is supposed to be a cool month. Usually get that first cooler front in late September and then one last heat wave going into the first week or so in October. I do remember October 2019 starting off as a scorcher though!

When I was growing up we always got the first good cold front sometime between September 15 and 30 every year.

 

[SD]

Welp

 

[BHS1975]

WelpView attachment 121198

Adios grass.

 

[BHS1975]

I wonder when they will yank the rain chances?

 

[smast16]

WelpView attachment 121198

Here's to hoping the trend reverses back east a little, but seems that the eastern TN, KY,WV have been the main focus this summer. No reason to believe that's gonna change.

 

[SD]

I mean we didn't totally lose rain chances Monday Tuesday Wednesday are ok. After that you could make up a hand full of scenarios around the trough/phase in the north east and the ultimate cutoff to the west ends up. I mean its not impossible we get wedged in here with highs in the 60s/70s or have low 90s highs with full sun so there is a wide range

 

[Tarheel1]

WelpView attachment 121198

Damn, looks like a snowfall map for y’all from
48 hours out to 12hours out! ??
Currently 85/73, yuck

 

[Arcc]

And I’ll take an order for the 18z GFS and so would everyone else.

 

[JHS]

And I’ll take an order for the 18z GFS and so would everyone else.

Yep if it is right then it's goodbye drought.

Edit: The 12z Euro looks good too through day 10 for many of us. Not as good east of I-77 in the Carolinas though.

 

[Zander98al]

A couple morning in the Mid to upper 60s in my neck of the woods, it's felt very good. Looking forward to the cooler temps and changing leafs.

 

[ATLwxfan]

GFS has a long stretch of 100°+ days in the Dakotas and Minnesota. Just insanity. Most of us in the muggy soup of Augtember.


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[Rain Cold]

Brutal



Happy Fall

 

[Chazwin]

Brutal

View attachment 121210

Happy Fall

Let’s keep in mind the GFS was showing virtually the same thing for late next week at 354 hours out.

 

[Snowlover87]

The weather is really strange this year. Normally September is a pretty dry month, but the next week looks very wet for most of us.

 

[NoSnowATL]

September is tied for 3rd wettest month for my area. I like seeing it add up.

 

[Snowlover87]

September is tied for 3rd wettest month for my area. I like seeing it add up.

Interesting. September is the 3rd driest month in Atlanta.

 

[BHS1975]

The weather is really strange this year. Normally September is a pretty dry month, but the next week looks very wet for most of us. View attachment 121211

Look at that dry spot right over Wake Co.

 

[SD]

Look at that dry spot right over Wake Co.

LOL the worm has turned

 

[J.C.]

September does look like the 3rd driest month, but that's like calling the Chattahoochee the third driest river, all months are relatively close in numbers. I want to know how the NOAA calculates the new normals, because they openly admit they throw some -------- in there. When I calculated Atlanta's new July average, it was 89.5F for 1990-2020. I can't remember what I calculated for January, 53. something.