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Pattern Sweatember '22

Those are some big dark rain clouds racing by S-N just a stonesvthrow to my west. All afternoon. Looks like some folks got trained. Needed about a 30 mile futher east shift.
 
Got out some this afternoon there are some really bad areas out there. It's unfortunate and sad to see the models drying up
Yeah I really feel for areas down east that look like they’re gonna take the shaft again. My area has really started drying up as well the last few days, but we look to west of that sharp cut off this week and should see some decent totals. It obviously looks like that Bermuda high is gonna have to weaken some or move east a bit for you guys to get back in on some consistent rainfall again… which should happen with the seasonal pattern transitions that occur over the next few weeks
 
Creeks drying up fast now

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You will get yours tomorrow. I'm actually encouraged by some of the trends over the last 2/3 model cycles for the Friday- Monday period. Today through Thursday still looks scattered but someone in the US1/95 corridors will walk away with 1+ in that time frame but some will walk away with 0 as well
 
You will get yours tomorrow. I'm actually encouraged by some of the trends over the last 2/3 model cycles for the Friday- Monday period. Today through Thursday still looks scattered but someone in the US1/95 corridors will walk away with 1+ in that time frame but some will walk away with 0 as well
3k looks promising that's for sure and not being picky but I'd really much rather see a good widespread soaker. But I'll take anything right now
 
3k looks promising that's for sure and not being picky but I'd really much rather see a good widespread soaker. But I'll take anything right now
Your area has some jet streak help and some shortwave energy close by I'd certainly favor that area late tonight and tomorrow versus here. It's every man for himself right now though I just hope we see more wins than losses especially for those that saw nearly nothing in August. Think this weekend has potential to be a multi day event and with the flow potentially right out of the carribbean we could put up some big numbers. Still looking for that first rain over 1.5 this year here which nearly breaks my brain to accept
 
Your area has some jet streak help and some shortwave energy close by I'd certainly favor that area late tonight and tomorrow versus here. It's every man for himself right now though I just hope we see more wins than losses especially for those that saw nearly nothing in August. Think this weekend has potential to be a multi day event and with the flow potentially right out of the carribbean we could put up some big numbers. Still looking for that first rain over 1.5 this year here which nearly breaks my brain to accept
I like the potential but my money is on less than 2" for Sept, the great patterns really only produced once this summer. Going with the odds lol
 
On radar it looks like we’ve only gotten showers most of the morning but it has really been putting it down all morning
 
Nothing much here so far and GSP backing off on pops. Look likely we will stay mostly dry here a few more days.
 
Looks like the Euro is taking the late week rain out of most of the Carolinas. Looks like at least Sat for the next chance here unless we somehow get rain later today.
 
Been raining here really well the last couple days. Granted being only about 15 miles away from 3500-4000 ft mountains really helps getting lift and ringing out moisture. Even when the radar showed we were out of the rain it was still pouring. Up close to 3”
 
I didn't expect today. I barely saw the sun, and been in a repeat of yesterday with training storms / showers. 0.72 so far today with possibly more a total of 3.33 over 2 days. I've had more rain in the last 2 days than I've had since July 10th.

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I have 2.3 inches. So about what was modeled here. But still no where close to the widespread 2+ inches over the whole area. Model verification scores seem to improve but it feels like these models keep getting worse.
 
I have 2.3 inches. So about what was modeled here. But still no where close to the widespread 2+ inches over the whole area. Model verification scores seem to improve but it feels like these models keep getting worse.
You may very well get another inch of rain over the next couple of hours. It looks to miss me to the north so on to Sat before the next chance here.
Edit:
It's falling apart now so no rain here this week and no real relief in sight from the heat or the humidity through day 16. Once this event is over, the rest of the fall will be like 2001, meaning we MAY get good rain sometime after Thanksgiving.
 
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You may very well get another inch of rain over the next couple of hours. It looks to miss me to the north so on to Sat before the next chance here.
Edit:
It's falling apart now so no rain here this week and no real relief in sight from the heat or the humidity through day 16. Once this event is over, the rest of the fall will be like 2001, meaning we MAY get good rain sometime after Thanksgiving.
Closing in on 3 inches of rain over the last 3 days here. Still raining on and off now. Yard is so wet probably going to have to wait a few days to dry before I can cut grass. What a difference around 60 miles makes.
 
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