Hey you never know it might just verify im in Tuscaloosa county so im just dreaming for a flakeMe and Arcc are in the sweet spot for Bama so we know that ain't got a snowball chance in hell of happening...
That basically is from Mt. Cheaha down the Talladega County/Talladega national forest. Mt. Cheaha is only 2000 ft higher in ele. than me tho...Nam is still at it
Fear not Alabama the Nam is namming you too!
Well the NAM really takes a ride if you look at the soundings. Starts as borderline snow, shifts out to rain with a strong 850 warm nose, the warm nose cools but is still sharp and surface to 925 is just at freezing so close to sleet, then it goes back to rain.I was just going to say I’m waiting on some crazy AS* NAM runs. Lmao
It's hard to determine the true Ptype so I'd go with rate driven sloppy rain for here with that Kuchera of 3.Those snow maps are wierd, most wintry precip is supported in WNC, NAM does show some ZR in western NC and some snow in the mountains
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I'm not sure how March 2010 went with that bowling ball, but looking back at the overall setup, it almost looks very similar except for the big high pressure location difference. Idk how the energy was set up or how we got cold air that time. Anyone have information that can shoot this idea down or relate it?
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Here’s the thing, this will definitely have dynamics. NAM furthest north with energy but I could see pockets of “nearing” heavy wet snow. NAM will prob do a good job with sniffing out those pockets.Well the NAM really takes a ride if you look at the soundings. Starts as borderline snow, shifts out to rain with a strong 850 warm nose, the warm nose cools but is still sharp and surface to 925 is just at freezing so close to sleet, then it goes back to rain.
Me and Arcc are in the sweet spot for Bama so we know that ain't got a snowball chance in hell of happening...
It's hard to determine the true Ptype so I'd go with rate driven sloppy rain for here with that Kuchera of 3.
I'm not sure how March 2010 went with that bowling ball, but looking back at the overall setup, it almost looks very similar except for the big high pressure location difference. Idk how the energy was set up or how we got cold air that time. Anyone have information that can shoot this idea down or relate it?
I'm pretty sure 2010 was the setup that gave me snow with 2009 missing me to the south but might as well compare 2009 too.March 2010 or March 2009?
I agree, doesn't these upper level lows hard to predict when regarding to temps? It wouldn't take 32 or below to get snow with a dynamic storm like this one. Nam had temps in Al/Ga in the mid to upper 30s with heavy convection band that showed snow.Here’s the thing, this will definitely have dynamics. NAM furthest north with energy but I could see pockets of “nearing” heavy wet snow. NAM will prob do a good job with sniffing out those pockets.
I was prepared to be disappointed with a map error, but dang the NAM is seriously close to a crushing hit across East AL. Crazy and very unlikely, but would be awesome if the less than 1% possibility of it happens.