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Misc Stock Market

In 2016 and the end of 2018 S&P dropped all the way to the 200wema. Currently, it's at $351 which is another 20% down from here. Tough to imagine the market dropping that much...


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In 2016 and the end of 2018 S&P dropped all the way to the 200wema. Currently, it's at $351 which is another 20% down from here. Tough to imagine the market dropping that much...


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It will someday. If the Fed moves to slow it's purchases and begins tightening rates, why would it continue to rise unabated?
 
If Putin doesn't invade, then I think vol gives this back on Monday, which would mean a snapback in stocks.

I've quoted Crimea before, but in reality, I don't want anything with Ukraine because oil is already too high. And if that escalated, that would get worse even if we tighten.

This is apparently not even certain (saw that some in Russia don't buy it, because they don't think Putin wants the sanctions), but merely mentioning it has caused a huge bond market rally and oil is mooning off it.

Regardless of any potential war emergency fed meeting and the fed minutes being released Wednesday will not cause a multi day rally


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It will someday. If the Fed moves to slow it's purchases and begins tightening rates, why would it continue to rise unabated?
Retail has changed everything in the stock market. That’s one thing that could keep this from that type of decline. The retail mob buys every dip…?‍♂️
 
Retail has changed everything in the stock market. That’s one thing that could keep this from that type of decline. The retail mob buys every dip…?‍♂️
Retail money will run out one day, Feds can't prop the market forever, everything that goes up eventually comes back down, I don't have a clue when but one day the fall is gonna be brutal
 
Retail has changed everything in the stock market. That’s one thing that could keep this from that type of decline. The retail mob buys every dip…?‍♂️
They are always the last leg before the crash. Always.
 
Big tech was wrecked today apple , Amazon and Tesla all broke support levels at the end of the day . Amazon has a huge gap to fill sub 3k and Tesla's next support is in the pits of hell


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They are always the last leg before the crash. Always.

I agree and not just because I'm holding a ---- load of puts . This market is a bloated pig and needs a major pullback before it rips again before midterms . Can't print damn money forever a war while horrible for Ukraine would be healthy for the market in encouraging a huge dump


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I agree and not just because I'm holding a ---- load of puts . This market is a bloated pig and needs a major pullback before it rips again before midterms . Can't print damn money forever a war while horrible for Ukraine would be healthy for the market in encouraging a huge dump


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Agree 100%
 
Going to be a wild week. Futures limit down, crude near $31, gold near $1700, and the 10 yr yield is at 0.5%! How long until the Fed steps in? Tomorrow or Tuesday is my guess. I bet some big funds and some companies are going to blow up soon. Would hate to be holding junky debt right now.
So when are gas prices gonna come down , with crude that low??
 
Yes, when the common man is talking about stocks it’s a sign the top is near. It was as true in 1929 as it is today.

Back in 2000 I was working with a friend of mine at a big tech company. His dad was a president of a bank, and one day he told us this story....he said he was walking into a branch one day and he was talking to this little old lady and she says to him...'I want to buy some Cisco stock"....he asks her...' well do you know what Cisco does"....she responds...'no, but the stock keeps going up'. He's telling us this story and he says to us...the top is probably in. Needless to say he was right. And, suffice it to say my friend and I didn't sell our options and we lost out on a lot of money.

Cisco's chart back in 1999-2001.

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To me, Telsa is the poster child for a large cap tech that is extremely overvalued like Cisco was back in 2000. NVDA is another. Cisco's PE ratio peaked at 180 back in 2000...Tesla's PE ratio is 176 as of yesterday.


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That "meeting" by the Fed on Monday is not an emergency meeting to discuss an emergency rate hike. It is a typical meeting in which you can find similar wording for in January, December, and so on I believe.

And yet many have run away with this and turned an "expedited" meeting into an emergency meeting, and it's very possible it was the cause behind what was seen up to 1:30 ET on Friday considering that tech was underperforming.

Anything that happened after was Russian fears.

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Photo for proof.

Having said that, 3800-4000 is very likely before the next FOMC meeting even happens. From there, it'll be interesting to see if whether the conventional wisdom of a rate hike taking stocks even lower from there happens and we see an outright market crash, or if not.

This wasn't my thought until the Bullard tape bomb occurred, but it is now.
 
Everyone looking at the same charts...all can see the head and shoulder pattern in both tech and S&P. It's still tough to imagine SPY dropping all the way down to $400...but a close below $426 opens that possibility. Keep expecting the market to rip higher and push to ATH's as that's all we've seen for several years now.

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