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Misc Stock Market

VIX candle just shook out many...what the heck?

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What the F
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PYPL: Someone is selling a bunch of the June $200 puts today...clearly a bullish trade but an interesting way to go about it. They are doing it in "small" increments too.

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VIX is holding up nicely. Hard to imagine anyone is overconfident with buying and longing right now
 
Anyone think we really tomorrow regardless of CPI data


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What is the average expectation for the CPI? What CPI assumption is baked into stock prices?
 
Thank you. What do you and others here expect the actual CPI report will show compared to 7.8%? Anyone here good at predicting this?
Seems like we have beating every inflation report lately (in a bad way), so my expectation would be something around 8%, but I also don’t know what I’m talking about, so who knows, haha.
 
Per today’s weekly EIA report, here is the US crude oil production in millions of barrels/day:

Current:11.6 (up 0.7 vs one year ago as production slowly recovers from COVID)

One year ago: 10.9 (way down from one year prior due to COVID because two years ago was at the max just before COVID related big drop)

Two years ago: 13.0 (near the max just before COVID took hold)

 
Look at me calling for a down day today and gap down and reversal tomorrow. You dummy.

My guess is that this is followed with a red day tomorrow unless there is real traction between Russia and Ukraine, but if there is, then the VIX likely isn't going to be 30+ (as I think a lot of what's in it is this war), and that is fuel in itself, even if it ends up being temporary.
 
VIX - close below that trendline would be nice...well unless you are short.

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Me and the wife are getting back $10k in taxes this year. Bout to YOLO it on 480c’s exp April 1. I wonder how long it will take for her to file divorce papers?

You just reminded me...I had my taxes ready to go but hadn't submitted them. Just did....hopefully I can buy some crypto with the refund and lose half of it...goals.
 
Look at me calling for a down day today and gap down and reversal tomorrow. You dummy.

My guess is that this is followed with a red day tomorrow unless there is real traction between Russia and Ukraine, but if there is, then the VIX likely isn't going to be 30+ (as I think a lot of what's in it is this war), and that is fuel in itself, even if it ends up being temporary.
If you didn't bump up against your data limit, you would have had access to more information and would probably have made a better call!
 
Just bought a 336P QQQ put for Friday. I am a degen. But how do we not go down when CPI comes out tomorrow?
 
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