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Misc Stock Market


That's not breaking. It was breaking news 15 years ago. It's been proven time and again these people front-run economic data and geopolitical policy-making. It's criminal, and it should be stopped. But it's not breaking news.

Of course they made money. And they'll continue to make lots more money while the American people suffer the consequences of crony capitalism. Let them live large now, because one day, they're going probably to pay dearly.
 
Should I hold UCO or get out before close?
I’m holding it, though whether that’s a good idea is debatable. I figure as long as the war continues to deepen, oil will continue to bleed upwards, though. I should probably set a stop loss to protect myself in case it starts dropping sharply, though.
 
Jesus what an ugly chart
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I’m holding it, though whether that’s a good idea is debatable. I figure as long as the war continues to deepen, oil will continue to bleed upwards, though. I should probably set a stop loss to protect myself in case it starts dropping sharply, though.
Right! My concern, and maybe my lack of knowlege, is that I thought it reset daily...so how would stop losses work in that case? If it closes at $190 and opens tomorrow at $180, how does that work if you set a $185 stop?
 
Right! My concern, and maybe my lack of knowlege, is that I thought it reset daily...so how would stop losses work in that case? If it closes at $190 and opens tomorrow at $180, how does that work if you set a $185 stop?
Your stop loss would get triggered at $180 in that case. $UCO gaps up and down a lot, so that’s definitely a risk. Keep in mind my cost basis is $118, so I’ve got a lot more room to play with here. It gapping down to $160 and me selling there would still leave me with a nice profit. If your cost basis is around what it is now, it’s more iffy. Mainly there’s the risk of a ceasefire being declared, which doesn’t seem imminent to me, but could really happen at anytime overnight (for us) without warning.
 
What's the best commodity play right now? Are there any recommended ETF's that are solid choices to get a solid diversity in the things that will moon?
 
Your stop loss would get triggered at $180 in that case. $UCO gaps up and down a lot, so that’s definitely a risk. Keep in mind my cost basis is $118, so I’ve got a lot more room to play with here. It gapping down to $160 and me selling there would still leave me with a nice profit. If your cost basis is around what it is now, it’s more iffy. Mainly there’s the risk of a ceasefire being declared, which doesn’t seem imminent to me, but could really happen at anytime overnight (for us) without warning.
For sure...I also got in around $120 earlier, but sold out around $155-$160. I just got back in earlier today when it dropped.
 
What's the best commodity play right now? Are there any recommended ETF's that are solid choices to get a solid diversity in the things that will moon?
I bought some $COM yesterday. It’s an unleveraged broad basket of commodities that in theory shouldn’t be as volatile as any individual commodity, but if commodities continue to increase should provide decent returns without having as much downside risk (but at the same time it won’t go to the moon, either, hah). Of course, thats not to say it’s not risky, and I’m not a financial advisor. ?


Also bought some $BAR (gold) and $WEAT (wheat). Might’ve been too late on the wheat trade, though.
 
For sure...I also got in around $120 earlier, but sold out around $155-$160. I just got back in earlier today when it dropped.
Yeah, I haven’t added to my position since I bought in. I’m not sure about the risk/reward of buying at this point. There’s plenty of moon potential still, but there’s also a high bust potential. It’s really a gamble. I am holding, but I probably wouldn’t buy at this point personally. Just wish I bought more when I got in at $118. I bought a healthy chunk, but could’ve definitely had a larger position looking back.
 
I bought some $COM yesterday. It’s an unleveraged broad basket of commodities that in theory shouldn’t be as volatile as any individual commodity, but if commodities continue to increase should provide decent returns without having as much downside risk (but at the same time it won’t go to the moon, either, hah). Of course, thats not to say it’s not risky, and I’m not a financial advisor. ?


Also bought some $BAR (gold) and $WEAT (wheat). Might’ve been too late on the wheat trade, though.
Thanks for the suggestion! Ive looked on etfdb and there are some that look interesting. I only trade on Fidelity, and they shut off the buy button on WEAT. I'm not happy AT ALL
 
I bought some $COM yesterday. It’s an unleveraged broad basket of commodities that in theory shouldn’t be as volatile as any individual commodity, but if commodities continue to increase should provide decent returns without having as much downside risk (but at the same time it won’t go to the moon, either, hah). Of course, thats not to say it’s not risky, and I’m not a financial advisor. ?


Also bought some $BAR (gold) and $WEAT (wheat). Might’ve been too late on the wheat trade, though.
I found DBC, which appears to be another diversified ETF as well.
 
Anyone think we are close to a major dump . Not a slow bleed but a true dump ?


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Just MVHO, I think we are in for worse than a dump. I think we are so corrupted in the markets with the private central banks (the root of every single problem), politicians, Blackrock/Vanguard (who own EVERYTHING...literally), hedge funds, lobbyists, etc that certain powers will flush the system. Until the corruption is gone, we will be left with what "they" want us to have.
 
Anyone think we are close to a major dump . Not a slow bleed but a true dump ?


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mentioned this yesterday...SPY is still 23% above it's pre-covid high. We really haven't seen much pain in SPY...yet. SPY was down 11% in fall of 2020 and it's only down 12% from it's ATH's currently.

If Fed turns QE back on and delays raising rates I think we avoid severe pain. But, Fed been saying they are going to start QT and raise rates to the 1.5-2% range by EOY.....

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ES...a weekly close below $4140 would be bad. It rejected that several times last April-June and a couple of weeks ago.

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I'm going to set up some calendar put spreads on spy tomorrow. Probably going long 400p out in May and sell puts against it weekly. Should be able to cover the cost of the long put pretty quickly.
 
So who are we not fighting with. ?‍♂️


This is what happens when there is or there is about to be an energy crisis/debt cycle implosion. And I'm talking beyond the recent Russia business.

The global economy (and particularly the US economy) has become so overleveraged that it takes higher growth yoy to support the debt and fiscal situation. In order to achieve the necessary growth, we have to double our energy usage every 8ish years. We're simply running out of energy.

And the way you can tell all of this is by looking at the value/price of real things, social discontent, and geopolitical tensions. All 3 are moving in very bad directions. We don't have a lot of time left to enjoy the current system.
 
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