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Misc Sizzling Shenanigans: warm season whamby

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ILMRoss said:
atlanta board members in for a rude awakening with how much these things absolutely suck. like 3 hours of meteorological "whoa" for a week of pain and no AC

i've got friends that chase these things and i get absolutely nothing out of it. growing up in wilmington i think maybe they wore out their welcome some, for the most part the whole thing is just a windy grey
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Those of us that remember Opal know we don't want this. I've got half a steer in one freezer and a hog in the other. Running generators for an extended period of time sucks.
 
I don’t recall the top wind gusts with Irma, but there were widespread power outages, tons of trees down, homes damaged, traffic light mast arms down, etc. It was pretty bad for about a week.
 
The folks who are expecting a full blown hurricane in Atlanta are going to be mighty disappointed come Friday morning. Keep your expectations in check. Sure trees down, flash flooding and extended power outages are a very real threat. But for those thinking windows blown out of high rises, roofs torn off everywhere and forests flattened I don't know what to tell you but move closer to the coast of that's what you want.
 
RainlessSnowless & Grumpy said:
The folks who are expecting a full blown hurricane in Atlanta are going to be mighty disappointed come Friday morning. Keep your expectations in check. Sure trees down, flash flooding and extended power outages are a very real threat. But for those thinking windows blown out of high rises, roofs torn off everywhere and forests flattened I don't know what to tell you but move closer to the coast of that's what you want.
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the issue is that there's going to be a place where the corridor of highest PRE rains and the path of the remnant core/eyewall intersect that will see a lot of downed trees and that intersection point could easily be atl
 
NoSnowATL said:
NHC track looks good for now. They know what they are doing.
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That's kind of the way I see it too. My opinion of Atlanta not getting hurricane force wins apparently isn't popular. We'll see Friday morning what happens. But these wind maps from what I've seen are almost always wrong. Just like snow maps they are way over done. We try to justify them saying it's a different setup but I'm guessing there is a reason those pressures haven't been recorded in North GA before and I'm sure this setup has happened many of times. Not saying it's impossible but if I was a betting man I'd say the pressures are modeled too low and the winds too high. I remember Brent posting it seems Atlanta only gusted to 59 during Opal? Their benchmark storm? It's asking a lot to get 70-80 mph gusts there. Stick with what the NHC and NWS say. If they say it I may start believing it
 
RainlessSnowless & Grumpy said:
That's kind of the way I see it too. My opinion of Atlanta not getting hurricane force wins apparently isn't popular. We'll see Friday morning what happens. But these wind maps from what I've seen are almost always wrong. Just like snow maps they are way over done. We try to justify them saying it's a different setup but I'm guessing there is a reason those pressures haven't been recorded in North GA before and I'm sure this setup has happened many of times. Not saying it's impossible but if I was a betting man I'd say the pressures are modeled too low and the winds too high. I remember Brent posting it seems Atlanta only gusted to 59 during Opal? Their benchmark storm? It's asking a lot to get 70-80 mph gusts there. Stick with what the NHC and NWS say. If they say it I may start believing it
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I'm literally under a Hurricane Warning and you say Atlanta won't get hurricane force winds ? I'm only 135 miles south of Atlanta !
 
SD said:
East side is less likely/will not have a temperature inversion so the higher winds mix down. The west side is likely to start wrapping in some cooler BL dews leading to a temp inversion which makes it harder to mix down the stronger gusts
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Also, especially due to the projected very rare fast (25-30 mph) motion, the max wind potential to the west of the center will likely be reduced significantly vs near and to the E of it. A slower moving storm of the same strength in the same location would have higher winds to the west of the center as the winds around it would be more symmetrical.
 
Drizzle Snizzle said:
I'm literally under a Hurricane Warning and you say Atlanta won't get hurricane force winds ? I'm only 135 miles south of Atlanta !
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Man you gotta be trolling now? 135 miles is a long way for a tropical system on land. You're probably under a warming for gusts. Your 75 mph gusts could easily translate to 50 mph gusts 135 miles further north.
 
RainlessSnowless & Grumpy said:
Man you gotta be trolling now? 135 miles is a long way for a tropical system on land. You're probably under a warming for gusts. Your 75 mph gusts could easily translate to 50 mph gusts 135 miles further north.
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Of course, that's what southeast ridge, dewy dan, drizzle snizzle fo' shizzle does best
 
So, now that I have the Katrina refugee generator in working order, I'm hanging out in the pool slamming down Blue Moons knowing today is the last day the water will be warm enough to be enjoyable while watching every refresh of Helene's visible refresh. This is weather weenie heaven. Not to mention, the wife of 45 years knows the program, lol.
 
Wild Weather Monger said:
So, now that I have the Katrina refugee generator in working order, I'm hanging out in the pool slamming down Blue Moons knowing today is the last day the water will be warm enough to be enjoyable while watching every refresh of Helene's visible refresh. This is weather weenie heaven. Not to mention, the wife of 45 years knows the program, lol.
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you're in georgia and you're not drinking sweetwater??
 
Wild Weather Monger said:
I've never tried it. Is it similar?
Meanwhile, Helene is about to pop a defined eye per visible imagery, lol.
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Sweetwater has an array of beers, I'm not aware of a wheat beer like Blue Moon though. I would argue that Creature Comforts Tropicalia is probably the most popular craft beer in Georgia, at the moment.
 
So who do you guys think wins? The hurricane models furthest West or the Eastern globals?
 
Shawn said:
So who do you guys think wins? The hurricane models furthest West or the Eastern globals?
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Don't know why we'd go with the hurricane models given the interaction with the ull but who knows. I do remember the hurricane models had Joaquin over my house and sub 950 pressures so I'm weary of them with ulls
 
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